Week 8
Elliott T. Bowers Stadium

New Mexico State @ Sam Houston , Week 8, Oct 22, 2026

0-1 CUSA Power rating: -18.1
0-0 CUSA Power rating: -24.1

Is there value in the New Mexico State vs Sam Houston line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
NMSU -3.8
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors NMSUfavors SHSU ▸
‹ 6.0 NMSU
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1 NMSU1 SHSU2 NMSU2 SHSUModel: NMSU -3.8

New Mexico State (power rating: -18.1) carries a 6.0-point advantage over Sam Houston (-24.1) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Sam Houston's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5) narrows that gap at Elliott T. Bowers Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges New Mexico State's bye week and the heat. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect New Mexico State vs Sam Houston at Elliott T. Bowers Stadium?

The latest reading for Elliott T. Bowers Stadium shows Clear, 87°F, heat index 92°F with winds of 10 mph. Gusts reaching 20 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do New Mexico State and Sam Houston compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor New Mexico State (-18.1) over Sam Houston (-24.1) by 6.0 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Sam Houston faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Sam Houston brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this New Mexico State -3.8. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

87°F

Rain4%
Precip0.00"
Humidity57%
Wind10 mph SE
Gusts20 mph
Heat index92°F
Wind map for New Mexico State at Sam Houston: aerial view of Elliott T. Bowers Stadium, wind from the SE at 9.6 mph, gusting to 20.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 8
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM CDT
Venue
Elliott T. Bowers Stadium
Capacity
14,000
Elevation
446 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure New Mexico StateAway Sam HoustonHome
This week670 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekHome game
Season total13,066 miles4,071 miles
Body clock18:0019:00
Rest15 days7 days

New Mexico State travels 670 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. New Mexico State arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.