New Mexico State (power rating: -15.1) carries a 2.1-point advantage over Sam Houston (-17.2) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Sam Houston's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5) narrows that gap at Elliott T. Bowers Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges New Mexico State's bye week. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Elliott T. Bowers Stadium shows Clear, 71°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction markets on Kalshi price New Mexico State as 54% favorites to beat Sam Houston (44%). That implies a market-derived spread of New Mexico State -1.3. The Blue Chip model makes it New Mexico State -0.3, in line with the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.
Clear
71°F
| Measure | New Mexico StateAway | Sam HoustonHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 670 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Bye week | Home game |
| Season total | 13,066 miles | 4,071 miles |
| Body clock | 18:00 | 19:00 |
| Rest | 15 days | 7 days |
New Mexico State travels 670 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. New Mexico State arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.
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