South Alabama (power rating: -7.2) carries a 7.1-point advantage over Marshall (-14.3) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Marshall's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 1.9) narrows that gap at Joan C. Edwards Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from South Alabama's extra rest. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The forecast for Joan C. Edwards Stadium shows Clear, 58°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. The weather adjustment is pre-filled in the line value calculator above; adjust it manually if conditions change before kickoff. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction markets on Kalshi price South Alabama as 55% favorites to beat Marshall (45%). That implies a market-derived spread of South Alabama -1.3. The Blue Chip model makes it South Alabama -5.5, a notable divergence from the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.
Clear
58°F
| Measure | South AlabamaAway | MarshallHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 626 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Bye week | Bye week |
| Season total | 2,738 miles | 2,172 miles |
| Body clock | 18:30 | 19:30 |
| Rest | 12 days | 10 days |
South Alabama travels 626 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. South Alabama arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.
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