Week 8
Joan C. Edwards Stadium

South Alabama @ Marshall , Week 8, Oct 20, 2026

0-0 Sun Belt Power rating: -10.8
0-0 Sun Belt Power rating: -6.0

Is there value in the South Alabama vs Marshall line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
MRSH -6.4
Edge
No line posted
See details
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4.8 › MRSH
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1 USA1 MRSH2 USA2 MRSHModel: MRSH -6.4

Marshall (power rating: -6.0) holds a 4.8-point advantage over South Alabama (-10.8) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Marshall's home field adds 1.9 points to that advantage at Joan C. Edwards Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from South Alabama's extra rest. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect South Alabama vs Marshall at Joan C. Edwards Stadium?

The latest reading for Joan C. Edwards Stadium shows Light rain shower, 72°F with winds of 5 mph. There is a 67% chance of rain, though little accumulation is expected. Blue Chip has not been able to measure a reliable line effect from rain, so treat this as context rather than signal. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do South Alabama and Marshall compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Marshall (-6.0) over South Alabama (-10.8) by 4.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Marshall brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Marshall -6.4. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Light rain shower

72°F

Rain67%
Precip0.02"
Humidity98%
Wind5 mph SSW
Gusts11 mph
Wind map for South Alabama at Marshall: aerial view of Joan C. Edwards Stadium, wind from the SSW at 4.5 mph, gusting to 11 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 8
Kickoff (local)
07:30 PM EDT
Venue
Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Capacity
30,475
Elevation
554 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure South AlabamaAway MarshallHome
This week626 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total2,738 miles2,172 miles
Body clock18:3019:30
Rest12 days10 days

South Alabama travels 626 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. South Alabama arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.