Buffalo (power rating: -17.3) holds a 1.8-point advantage over Bowling Green (-19.1) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Buffalo's home field adds 2.3 points to that advantage at UB Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for UB Stadium shows Patchy rain nearby, 45°F, wind chill 39°F with winds of 12 mph. Gusts reaching 22 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Patchy rain nearby
45°F

| Measure | Bowling GreenAway | BuffaloHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 273 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | Home game |
| Season total | 2,960 miles | 3,230 miles |
| Body clock | 00:00 | 00:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
Bowling Green travels 273 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.