Week 9
Albertsons Stadium

Texas State @ Boise State , Week 9, Nov 1, 2026

0-0 Pac-12 Power rating: -2.2
0-0 Pac-12 Power rating: 5.2

Is there value in the Texas State vs Boise State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
BOIS -11.0
Edge
No line posted
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◂ favors TXSTfavors BOIS ▸
7.4 › BOIS
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1 TXST1 BOIS2 TXST2 BOIS3 TXST3 BOISModel: BOIS -11.0

Boise State (power rating: 5.2) holds a 7.4-point advantage over Texas State (-2.2) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Boise State's home field adds 2.9 points to that advantage at Albertsons Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from Texas State's trip and the altitude. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Texas State vs Boise State at Albertsons Stadium?

The latest reading for Albertsons Stadium shows Overcast, 69°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Texas State and Boise State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Boise State (5.2) over Texas State (-2.2) by 7.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Boise State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Boise State -11.0. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Overcast

69°F

Rain9%
Precip0.00"
Humidity20%
Wind4 mph SSE
Gusts5 mph
Wind map for Texas State at Boise State: aerial view of Albertsons Stadium, wind from the SSE at 4 mph, gusting to 4.7 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 9
Kickoff (local)
08:00 PM MDT
Venue
Albertsons Stadium
Capacity
36,387
Elevation
2,723 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Texas StateAway Boise StateHome
This week1,380 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game442 miles
Season total3,741 miles5,232 miles
Body clock21:0020:00
Rest8 days8 days

Texas State travels 1,380 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Texas State arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.