Week 5
FAU Stadium

Memphis55 @FINAL 26Florida Atlantic , Week 5, Sep 27, 2025

4-0 American Power rating: 7.3
1-2 American Power rating: -13.7

How did the line hold up?

Market line
MEM -14.0
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
MEM -17.7
Edge
-3.7MEM
See details
◂ favors MEMfavors FAU ▸Market: MEM -14.0
‹ 21.0 MEM
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2 MEM2 FAU4 MEM4 FAUModel: MEM -17.7

Betting information

Spread
MEM -14.0
Total
62.5
Odds implied score
MEM 38.3 – 24.3 FAU

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Memphis defeated Florida Atlantic 55–26 in a dominant performance. Memphis covered by 15.0; Game went Over by 18.5. The market closed at Memphis -14.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Memphis -17.7, an edge of 3.7 points toward Memphis.

What are the key factors for Memphis vs Florida Atlantic?

Florida Atlantic

Defensive Struggles Against the Run

Florida Atlantic allowed Memphis to rush for 204 yards and three touchdowns, including a 90-yard run, indicating a significant weakness in run defense that opponents can exploit.

Offensive Efficiency Despite Loss

Quarterback Caden Veltkamp threw for 318 yards and a rushing touchdown, while Easton Messer had 131 receiving yards, showing the passing game can produce against strong competition.

Inability to Maintain Lead

The Owls led 16-17 at halftime but allowed 31 points in the fourth quarter, highlighting issues with second-half adjustments and closing out games.

Turnover Margin and Penalties

The recap does not specify turnovers or penalties, but allowing 55 points suggests potential issues in these areas that need improvement for future games.

What were the weather conditions for Memphis vs Florida Atlantic?

At kickoff, conditions at FAU Stadium were Cloudy, 82°F, heat index 91°F with winds of 11 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Memphis travels 841 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Memphis arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Memphis won by 29 in a dominant performance.

Memphis covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 18.5 points.

How do Memphis and Florida Atlantic compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Memphis (7.3) over Florida Atlantic (-13.7) by 21.0 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Florida Atlantic faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Florida Atlantic brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Memphis won and Memphis covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 27, 2025 Game-time

Cloudy

82°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity88%
Wind11 mph ENE
Gusts15 mph
Heat index91°F
Wind map for Memphis at Florida Atlantic: aerial view of FAU Stadium, wind from the ENE at 10.5 mph, gusting to 15.2 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 5
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM EDT
Venue
FAU Stadium
Capacity
30,000
Elevation
16 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure MemphisAway Florida AtlanticHome
This week841 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameBye week
Season total2,159 miles1,869 miles
Body clock18:0019:00
Rest7 days14 days