Memphis Tigers is 6-2 on the season, 4-4 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +3.2. Memphis Tigers carries one of the heaviest travel loads in the FBS, ranked 25th with 10,519 miles travelled this season, a meaningful fatigue factor for away games. The Memphis Tigers host Army next in Week 9.
In Week 8 of 2026 the Memphis Tigers Power Rating of +3.2 is 3.2 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Memphis Tigers have logged 7,618 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 10,519 miles, ranking 25th heaviest in the FBS.
Marcus Stokes QB, Air Noland QB, Jaylin Carter RB, Manny Covey RB, Dallan Hayden RB, Alante Brown WR, Tychaun Chapman WR
Mike Montgomery LB, Ian Foster S, J'Mond Tapp DL
Harrison Tuck P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Week 3 | 3-0 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Week 4 | 4-0 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Week 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Week 6 | 6-0 | 6-0 | 2-4 |
| Week 8 | 6-1 | 6-1 | 2-5 |
| Week 9 | 7-1 | 7-1 | 3-5 |
| Week 10 | 8-1 | 8-1 | 4-5 |
| Week 11 | 8-2 | 8-2 | 5-5 |
| Week 12 | 8-3 | 8-3 | 6-5 |
| Week 14 | 8-4 | 8-4 | 6-6 |
| Postseason | 8-5 | 8-5 | 6-7 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +0.4 in the preseason and finished +3.2 after week 8, a move of +2.8 points. High +5.3 (week 7), low +0.4 (the preseason).
PreW8
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.4 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State | 4 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Boise State | 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Charlotte | 2 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| UAB | 3 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Tulane | 10 | 5-5 | 3-7 |
| East Carolina | 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| South Florida | 6 | 5-1 | 3-3 |
| Navy | 10 | 6-4 | 3-7 |
| Temple | 6 | 4-2 | 3-3 |
No meeting on record since 2016: UNLV, UT Martin, Army.
Week 010,519 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | UNLV | 1,417 mi | 2,834 mi |
| Week 1 | Arkansas State | Home | 2,834 mi |
| Week 2 | Boise State | 1,513 mi | 5,859 mi |
| Week 3 | UT Martin | Home | 5,859 mi |
| Week 4 | - | Bye | |
| Week 5 | Charlotte | 523 mi | 6,904 mi |
| Week 6 | UAB | Home | 6,904 mi |
| Week 7 | Tulane | 357 mi | 7,618 mi |
| Week 8 | East Carolina | Home | 7,618 mi |
| Week 9 | Army | Home | 7,618 mi |
| Week 10 | - | Bye | |
| Week 11 | South Florida | 660 mi | 8,939 mi |
| Week 12 | Navy | 790 mi | 10,519 mi |
| Week 13 | Temple | Home | 10,519 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Charles Huff's first season in Memphis has brought a wave of transfers and a fast, spread offense under coordinator Kevin Decker. The Tigers are 5-2 and 2-1 in the American, already matching last season's win total. The roster turnover was massive, but Huff has the team buying in, as evidenced by a road win at UNLV in his debut, the first by a Memphis head coach in a road opener.
Quarterback Marcus Stokes, a Division II transfer, has shown arm talent and mobility, throwing for 384 yards at Boise State and five touchdowns at Charlotte. However, his six-turnover game at Tulane (four interceptions, two lost fumbles) exposed a risk-taking streak that had been mostly dormant. Stokes has 12 touchdowns and six interceptions on the season, and his decision-making under pressure will be key to Memphis's conference title hopes.
Running back Jaylin Carter, who followed Huff from Southern Miss, has been the offense's engine, rushing for 97 yards in the opener, 183 and four scores against Arkansas State, and 135 at Tulane. He has five 100-yard games and is the focal point of a run game that has topped 300 yards twice. The offensive line, rebuilt with no returning starters, has gelled faster than expected, opening holes for Carter and Manny Covey (103 yards in Week 1).
Coordinator Lance Guidry's 4-2-5 scheme has produced havoc, led by J'Mond Tapp and Southern Miss transfers Mike Montgomery and Ian Foster. The Tigers racked up six sacks and 11 tackles for loss against UNLV and forced four interceptions against Arkansas State. However, the linebacker depth is thin (only 23 career tackles outside Montgomery), and the unit struggled to contain Boise State's run game (357 yards) and Tulane's opportunistic defense. The pass rush remains the identity, but consistency is needed.
Memphis boasts dynamic return men in Foster, Alante Brown, and Manny Covey, though the return game has yet to break a long one this season. Punter Harrison Tuck has been solid. The Tigers have already logged 3,809 travel miles, but four of their final five games are at home, including a Thursday night matchup with East Carolina. With a 78% win probability, Memphis is positioned to contend for the American Championship Game berth, but must clean up turnovers and run defense to get there.
Memphis Tigers is 4-4 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 50% of games.
Memphis Tigers holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +3.2, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Memphis Tigers's home field advantage rating is 2.2 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Memphis Tigers's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at -120 over and -110 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Memphis Tigers travels 10,519 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 25th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Memphis Tigers: 6-2 overall, 4-4 ATS, power rating +3.2 (2026 records).
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