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Week 5 •
M. M. Roberts Stadium

Jacksonville State25 @FINAL 42Southern Miss

2-2 CUSA Power rating: -8.0
2-2 Sun Belt Power rating: -4.1

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
USM -4.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
USM -6.4
Edge
+1.9USM
See details
◂ favors JXSTfavors USM ▸Market: USM -4.5
3.9 › USM
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
USM
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 JXST1 USM2 JXST2 USMModel: USM -6.4

Betting information

Spread
USM -4.5
Total
55.5
Odds implied score
JXST 25.5 – 30.0 USM

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Southern Miss defeated Jacksonville State 42–25 to secure a comfortable win. Southern Miss covered by 12.5; Game went Over by 11.5. The market closed at Southern Miss -4.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Southern Miss -6.4, an edge of 1.9 points toward Southern Miss.

What were the weather conditions for Jacksonville State vs Southern Miss?

At kickoff, conditions at M. M. Roberts Stadium were Clear, 74°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Jacksonville State travels 270 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Southern Miss won by 17 to secure a comfortable win.

Southern Miss covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 11.5 points.

How do Jacksonville State and Southern Miss compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Southern Miss (-4.1) over Jacksonville State (-8.0) by 3.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Southern Miss brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Jacksonville State and Southern Miss?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Southern Miss won and Southern Miss covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 27, 2025 Game-time

Clear

74°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity73%
Wind5 mph N
Gusts10 mph
Wind map for Jacksonville State at Southern Miss: aerial view of M. M. Roberts Stadium, wind from the N at 4.7 mph, gusting to 9.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 5
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM CDT
Venue
M. M. Roberts Stadium
Capacity
36,000
Elevation
233 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Jacksonville StateAway Southern MissHome
This week270 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game424 miles
Season total1,670 miles424 miles
Body clock18:0018:00
Rest7 days7 days

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