Jacksonville State Gamecocks is 1-1 on the season, 1-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -10.6. Jacksonville State Gamecocks enters the season with a power rating of -10.6, placing them below average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Jacksonville State Gamecocks head to Ohio next in Week 2. In 2025, Jacksonville State Gamecocks went 9-5 overall, 7-7 against the spread, and 8-6 on totals.
In Week 1 of 2026 the Jacksonville State Gamecocks Power Rating of -10.6 is 10.6 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Jacksonville State Gamecocks have logged 2,144 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 7,400 miles, ranking 65th heaviest in the FBS.
Caden Creel QB, Jack Moran QB, Justus Savage RB, Andrew Paul RB, Khristian Lando RB, Jalen Likely RB, Lucas Farrington RB, Jeremiah Orr OL, Lance Johnson OL, Lucas Mrachkovskiy OL, Deondre Johnson WR, Dylan Gentry WR, Franklin Baret Jr. WR, Gabe Glover WR, Ronnel Johnson WR, Darius Cannon WR
Tre'Quon Fegans CB, Jaheim Jenkins CB, Caleb Nix S, Mac Sanders LB, Walker O'Steen LB, Ian Mitchell LB, Myles Butler LB, Khurtiss Perry DL, Gharin Stansbury DL, Jawaun Campbell DL, Angel Toombs DL
Garrison Rippa K, Conor Donaghy P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Week 3 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Week 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Week 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Week 7 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 4-2 |
| Week 8 | 4-3 | 3-4 | 5-2 |
| Week 10 | 5-3 | 3-5 | 5-3 |
| Week 11 | 6-3 | 4-5 | 6-3 |
| Week 12 | 7-3 | 5-5 | 7-3 |
| Week 13 | 7-4 | 5-6 | 7-4 |
| Week 14 | 8-4 | 6-6 | 8-4 |
| Week 15 | 8-5 | 6-7 | 8-5 |
| Postseason | 9-5 | 7-7 | 8-6 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened -9.7 in the preseason and finished -6.5 after the postseason, a move of +3.2 points. High -5.6 (week 14), low -11.9 (week 0).
PrePost
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.0 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio | 1 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Georgia Southern | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Middle Tennessee | 3 | 3-0 | 2-1 |
| Kennesaw State | 3 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Florida International | 3 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| New Mexico State | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Sam Houston | 3 | 3-0 | 2-1 |
| Western Kentucky | 4 | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Delaware | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
No meeting on record since 2016: North Dakota State, Eastern Kentucky, Missouri State.
Week 07,400 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | North Dakota State | 1,072 mi | 2,144 mi |
| Week 1 | Eastern Kentucky | Home | 2,144 mi |
| Week 2 | Ohio | 430 mi | 3,005 mi |
| Week 3 | Georgia Southern | Home | 3,005 mi |
| Week 4 | Middle Tennessee | Home | 3,005 mi |
| Week 5 | - | Bye | |
| Week 6 | Kennesaw State | 70 mi | 3,145 mi |
| Week 7 | Florida International | Home | 3,145 mi |
| Week 8 | - | Bye | |
| Week 9 | New Mexico State | 1,220 mi | 5,585 mi |
| Week 10 | Sam Houston | Home | 5,585 mi |
| Week 11 | Western Kentucky | 222 mi | 6,028 mi |
| Week 12 | Missouri State | Home | 6,028 mi |
| Week 13 | Delaware | 686 mi | 7,400 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Jacksonville State opened the season with a 33-7 loss at North Dakota State, a game that exposed several early issues. The offense managed just 170 total yards and converted only 2 of 10 third downs, while quarterback Caden Creel completed 12 of 23 passes for 85 yards with an interception. The Gamecocks' only score came on an 8-yard Creel touchdown run in the first quarter. The defense allowed North Dakota State to control the game, including a touchdown on a botched snap recovered in the end zone. The loss was not a surprise given the travel and the opponent, but the margin and the offensive struggles were concerning.
Caden Creel is the focal point of the offense, and his dual-threat ability was on display in the opener even as the passing game struggled. He threw for 1,514 yards and ran for 1,075 last season with 16 total touchdowns, and he will need to be even better this year. The running back committee, which lost Conference USA MVP Cam Cook, has yet to prove it can carry the load. Justus Savage, Andrew Paul, Khristian Lando, Jalen Likely, and Lucas Farrington are all options, but none has separated himself. The offensive line, anchored by Jeremiah Orr, Lance Johnson, and Lucas Mrachkovskiy, must open more lanes and give Creel time to find his playmakers.
Taylor Housewright takes over as offensive coordinator, and the early returns were not encouraging. The Gamecocks were held to 170 yards and struggled to sustain drives, which is a concern given the talent at receiver. Deondre Johnson, the 6-foot-8 leading receiver from last year, is back, along with Dylan Gentry, Franklin Baret Jr., and Gabe Glover. Transfers Ronnel Johnson and Darius Cannon add depth, but the passing game needs to be more efficient than the 85-yard effort in the opener. Creel's ability to extend plays with his legs is a weapon, but he cannot do it alone. The offense must find a rhythm in the coming weeks.
The Gamecocks lost their two sack leaders from last season, and the defensive line struggled to generate pressure against North Dakota State. Khurtiss Perry, Gharin Stansbury, and Jawaun Campbell are the returning starters, with Wisconsin transfer Angel Toombs expected to contribute. The unit allowed the Bison to control the clock and score 33 points, which is not a good sign. The secondary, led by cornerbacks Tre'Quon Fegans and Jaheim Jenkins and safety Caleb Nix, is a strength, but they cannot cover forever if the front seven cannot get stops. The defensive line needs to improve quickly to keep games close.
Jacksonville State has a favorable schedule ahead, starting with a home game against Eastern Kentucky, where they are heavy favorites. The Gamecocks have played for a Conference USA championship in each of the past two seasons and have made three straight bowl appearances, so the expectations remain high. The loss to North Dakota State, a quality FCS program now in FBS, is not a season-ender, but it does put pressure on the team to respond. The key will be establishing a consistent run game and getting Creel more support in the passing game. If the defense can hold up, Jacksonville State should still be a contender in CUSA.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks is 1-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 50% of games.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -10.6, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks's home field advantage rating is 2.5 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at -115 over and -115 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks travels 7,400 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 65th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks: 1-1 overall, 1-1 ATS, power rating -10.6 (2026 records).