Jacksonville State Gamecocks

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Jacksonville State Gamecocks is 5-2 on the season, 4-2-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -4.5. Jacksonville State Gamecocks's games are going over the total at 71% this season (5-2), a notable trend for totals bettors. The Jacksonville State Gamecocks head to New Mexico State next in Week 9.

Conference: Conference USA
Stadium: AmFirst Stadium, Jacksonville, AL
Power Rating (most current): -4.5
HFA Rating:2.5 pts
2026 Win Total:7.5
2026 Record: 5-2
2026 ATS: 4-2-1
2026 O/U: 5-2

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 7 of 2026 the Jacksonville State Gamecocks Power Rating of -4.5 is 4.5 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Jacksonville State Gamecocks have logged 3,145 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 7,400 miles, ranking 65th heaviest in the FBS.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachCharles Kelly
Tenure1 season
Record9-5
Offensive coordinatorTaylor Housewright
Defensive coordinatorBrian Williams

Offense

Caden Creel QB, Jack Moran QB, Justus Savage RB, Andrew Paul RB, Khristian Lando RB, Jalen Likely RB, Lucas Farrington RB, Jeremiah Orr OL, Lance Johnson OL, Lucas Mrachkovskiy OL, Deondre Johnson WR, Dylan Gentry WR, Franklin Baret Jr. WR, Gabe Glover WR, Ronnel Johnson WR, Darius Cannon WR

Defense

Tre'Quon Fegans CB, Jaheim Jenkins CB, Caleb Nix S, Mac Sanders LB, Walker O'Steen LB, Ian Mitchell LB, Myles Butler LB, Khurtiss Perry DL, Gharin Stansbury DL, Jawaun Campbell DL, Angel Toombs DL

Special teams

Garrison Rippa K, Conor Donaghy P

2025 Season in Review

Record9-5 ATS7-7 O/U8-6
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 10-11-00-1
Week 21-12-01-1
Week 31-22-12-1
Week 42-22-22-2
Week 52-32-33-2
Week 73-32-44-2
Week 84-33-45-2
Week 105-33-55-3
Week 116-34-56-3
Week 127-35-57-3
Week 137-45-67-4
Week 148-46-68-4
Week 158-56-78-5
Postseason9-57-78-6

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened -7.5 in the preseason and finished -4.5 after week 8, a move of +2.9 points. High -4.5 (week 8), low -10.6 (week 1).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from -7.5 to -4.5.

PreW8

Jacksonville State Gamecocks SP+ Profile

Offence+24.877 of 138higher is better
Defence+32.0107 of 138lower is better
Special teams-0.5117 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±3.0 pts
HFA measured+2.5 pts
HFA applied+2.5 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.0 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Ohio10-11-0
Georgia Southern10-10-1
Middle Tennessee33-02-1
Kennesaw State32-12-1
Florida International32-11-2
New Mexico State21-11-1
Sam Houston33-02-1
Western Kentucky43-13-1
Delaware11-01-0

No meeting on record since 2016: North Dakota State, Eastern Kentucky, Missouri State.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home16-313-6 ATS · 19 games
On the road8-108-10 ATS · 18 games
Neutral site3-13-1 ATS · 4 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

7,400 miles - ranked 65th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 7,400 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 07,400 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0North Dakota State1,072 mi2,144 mi
Week 1Eastern KentuckyHome2,144 mi
Week 2Ohio430 mi3,005 mi
Week 3Georgia SouthernHome3,005 mi
Week 4Middle TennesseeHome3,005 mi
Week 5-Bye
Week 6Kennesaw State70 mi3,145 mi
Week 7Florida InternationalHome3,145 mi
Week 8-Bye
Week 9New Mexico State1,220 mi5,585 mi
Week 10Sam HoustonHome5,585 mi
Week 11Western Kentucky222 mi6,028 mi
Week 12Missouri StateHome6,028 mi
Week 13Delaware686 mi7,400 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Jacksonville State Gamecocks Season Outlook

Creel Carries the Offense

Caden Creel is the engine of the Jacksonville State offense, and his dual-threat ability has been the difference in most games. He threw for 327 yards and five touchdowns against Eastern Kentucky, added 265 passing and 120 rushing at Ohio, and accounted for 360 total yards (241 passing, 119 rushing) in the Conference USA opener against Middle Tennessee. However, when North Dakota State contained him in the season opener, the offense managed only 170 total yards and converted 2 of 10 third downs. Creel's performance is the single biggest predictor of the Gamecocks' success.

Run Game Still Searching for Consistency

The departure of Conference USA MVP Cam Cook left a void that the committee of Justus Savage, Andrew Paul, Khristian Lando, Jalen Likely, and Lucas Farrington has yet to fill consistently. There have been flashes: Likely broke a 45-yard touchdown run against Eastern Kentucky, and Farrington ran for 94 yards against Middle Tennessee. But against North Dakota State, the run game was nonexistent, and the Gamecocks have yet to establish a reliable chain-mover. The 276 rushing yards against Middle Tennessee (7.1 yards per carry) showed what the group is capable of, but it must prove it can do that against stronger defenses.

Defensive Front Remains a Concern

Jacksonville State lost its two sack leaders from 2025 and has struggled to stop the run all season. North Dakota State ran through the rebuilt line in the opener, Eastern Kentucky ripped off a 72-yard touchdown run, and Ohio controlled the clock with its rushing attack. The front seven of Khurtiss Perry, Gharin Stansbury, Jawaun Campbell, and Wisconsin transfer Angel Toombs showed progress against Middle Tennessee, holding the Blue Raiders to 13 points, but consistency is still lacking. If the front seven cannot hold gaps, the secondary gets exposed in run support and play-action.

Secondary and Special Teams Are Swing Factors

The secondary, led by first-team All-CUSA safety Caleb Nix, cornerbacks Tre'Quon Fegans and Jaheim Jenkins, and Tristan Lyles, has been the strength of the defense. Nix returned an interception 43 yards for a touchdown against Eastern Kentucky and a punt 75 yards for a score against Georgia Southern, while Lyles sealed the Georgia Southern win with a red-zone interception. Special teams have been a mixed bag: kicker Garrison Rippa was 40-for-40 on extra points last season and has a 52-yard leg, but he missed a 38-yard field goal at the end of regulation against Ohio, and the coverage units allowed a 98-yard kickoff return for a touchdown in that same game. Rippa did make a 33-yard game-winner against Kennesaw State, his fourth career game-winner inside the final two minutes.

Season Trajectory and What to Watch

After a brutal 33-7 loss at North Dakota State in Week 0, Jacksonville State has won three straight and sits at 4-2 overall and 2-0 in Conference USA. The Gamecocks have covered in four of six games and are coming off a 27-26 win at Kennesaw State in a rematch of the 2025 CUSA championship game. The offense has found its rhythm, scoring 49, 27, 31, and 23 points in the last four games, while the defense has shown improvement, holding Middle Tennessee to 13 points. The biggest question is whether the run defense can hold up against stronger opponents, and whether the running back committee can consistently support Creel. With a home game against Florida International next, Jacksonville State has a chance to extend its winning streak and solidify its position in the CUSA race.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Jacksonville State Gamecocks's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Jacksonville State Gamecocks is 4-2-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 67% of games.

What is Jacksonville State Gamecocks's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Jacksonville State Gamecocks holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -4.5, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Jacksonville State Gamecocks's home field advantage rating?

Jacksonville State Gamecocks's home field advantage rating is 2.5 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Jacksonville State Gamecocks's 2026 win total?

Jacksonville State Gamecocks's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at -115 over and -115 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Jacksonville State Gamecocks travel in 2026?

Jacksonville State Gamecocks travels 7,400 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 65th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks: 5-2 overall, 4-2-1 ATS, power rating -4.5 (2026 records).