26
Final
23
38
Final
61
13
Final
20
30
Final
24
34
Final
6
31
Final
34
34
Final
41
16
Final
35
19
Final
16
38
Final
35
14
Final
28
28
Final
31
38
Final
45
14
Final
42
24
Final
20
13
Final
6
20
Final
59
49
Final
51
23
Final
52
24
Final
37
38
Final
17
24
Final
25
28
Final
27
20
Final
35
10
Final
21
24
Final
27
56
Final
21
31
Final
39
24
Final
31
20
Final
31
49
Final
39
10
Final
13
23
Final
15
10
Final
28
17
Final
34
49
Final
27
17
Final
28
20
Final
24
21
Final
14
13
Final
28
31
Final
35
0
Final
26
31
Final
10
49
Final
56
20
Final
16
24
Final
57
32
Final
38
3
Final
39
17
Final
20
7
Final
24
27
Final
34
17
Final
34
31
Final
30
42
Final
19
16
Final
21
13
Final
21
Jacksonville State Gamecocks is 5-2 on the season, 4-2-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -4.5. Jacksonville State Gamecocks's games are going over the total at 71% this season (5-2), a notable trend for totals bettors. The Jacksonville State Gamecocks head to New Mexico State next in Week 9.
In Week 7 of 2026 the Jacksonville State Gamecocks Power Rating of -4.5 is 4.5 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Jacksonville State Gamecocks have logged 3,145 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 7,400 miles, ranking 65th heaviest in the FBS.
Caden Creel QB, Jack Moran QB, Justus Savage RB, Andrew Paul RB, Khristian Lando RB, Jalen Likely RB, Lucas Farrington RB, Jeremiah Orr OL, Lance Johnson OL, Lucas Mrachkovskiy OL, Deondre Johnson WR, Dylan Gentry WR, Franklin Baret Jr. WR, Gabe Glover WR, Ronnel Johnson WR, Darius Cannon WR
Tre'Quon Fegans CB, Jaheim Jenkins CB, Caleb Nix S, Mac Sanders LB, Walker O'Steen LB, Ian Mitchell LB, Myles Butler LB, Khurtiss Perry DL, Gharin Stansbury DL, Jawaun Campbell DL, Angel Toombs DL
Garrison Rippa K, Conor Donaghy P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Week 3 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Week 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Week 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Week 7 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 4-2 |
| Week 8 | 4-3 | 3-4 | 5-2 |
| Week 10 | 5-3 | 3-5 | 5-3 |
| Week 11 | 6-3 | 4-5 | 6-3 |
| Week 12 | 7-3 | 5-5 | 7-3 |
| Week 13 | 7-4 | 5-6 | 7-4 |
| Week 14 | 8-4 | 6-6 | 8-4 |
| Week 15 | 8-5 | 6-7 | 8-5 |
| Postseason | 9-5 | 7-7 | 8-6 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened -7.5 in the preseason and finished -4.5 after week 8, a move of +2.9 points. High -4.5 (week 8), low -10.6 (week 1).
PreW8
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.0 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio | 1 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Georgia Southern | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Middle Tennessee | 3 | 3-0 | 2-1 |
| Kennesaw State | 3 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Florida International | 3 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| New Mexico State | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Sam Houston | 3 | 3-0 | 2-1 |
| Western Kentucky | 4 | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Delaware | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
No meeting on record since 2016: North Dakota State, Eastern Kentucky, Missouri State.
Week 07,400 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | North Dakota State | 1,072 mi | 2,144 mi |
| Week 1 | Eastern Kentucky | Home | 2,144 mi |
| Week 2 | Ohio | 430 mi | 3,005 mi |
| Week 3 | Georgia Southern | Home | 3,005 mi |
| Week 4 | Middle Tennessee | Home | 3,005 mi |
| Week 5 | - | Bye | |
| Week 6 | Kennesaw State | 70 mi | 3,145 mi |
| Week 7 | Florida International | Home | 3,145 mi |
| Week 8 | - | Bye | |
| Week 9 | New Mexico State | 1,220 mi | 5,585 mi |
| Week 10 | Sam Houston | Home | 5,585 mi |
| Week 11 | Western Kentucky | 222 mi | 6,028 mi |
| Week 12 | Missouri State | Home | 6,028 mi |
| Week 13 | Delaware | 686 mi | 7,400 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Caden Creel is the engine of the Jacksonville State offense, and his dual-threat ability has been the difference in most games. He threw for 327 yards and five touchdowns against Eastern Kentucky, added 265 passing and 120 rushing at Ohio, and accounted for 360 total yards (241 passing, 119 rushing) in the Conference USA opener against Middle Tennessee. However, when North Dakota State contained him in the season opener, the offense managed only 170 total yards and converted 2 of 10 third downs. Creel's performance is the single biggest predictor of the Gamecocks' success.
The departure of Conference USA MVP Cam Cook left a void that the committee of Justus Savage, Andrew Paul, Khristian Lando, Jalen Likely, and Lucas Farrington has yet to fill consistently. There have been flashes: Likely broke a 45-yard touchdown run against Eastern Kentucky, and Farrington ran for 94 yards against Middle Tennessee. But against North Dakota State, the run game was nonexistent, and the Gamecocks have yet to establish a reliable chain-mover. The 276 rushing yards against Middle Tennessee (7.1 yards per carry) showed what the group is capable of, but it must prove it can do that against stronger defenses.
Jacksonville State lost its two sack leaders from 2025 and has struggled to stop the run all season. North Dakota State ran through the rebuilt line in the opener, Eastern Kentucky ripped off a 72-yard touchdown run, and Ohio controlled the clock with its rushing attack. The front seven of Khurtiss Perry, Gharin Stansbury, Jawaun Campbell, and Wisconsin transfer Angel Toombs showed progress against Middle Tennessee, holding the Blue Raiders to 13 points, but consistency is still lacking. If the front seven cannot hold gaps, the secondary gets exposed in run support and play-action.
The secondary, led by first-team All-CUSA safety Caleb Nix, cornerbacks Tre'Quon Fegans and Jaheim Jenkins, and Tristan Lyles, has been the strength of the defense. Nix returned an interception 43 yards for a touchdown against Eastern Kentucky and a punt 75 yards for a score against Georgia Southern, while Lyles sealed the Georgia Southern win with a red-zone interception. Special teams have been a mixed bag: kicker Garrison Rippa was 40-for-40 on extra points last season and has a 52-yard leg, but he missed a 38-yard field goal at the end of regulation against Ohio, and the coverage units allowed a 98-yard kickoff return for a touchdown in that same game. Rippa did make a 33-yard game-winner against Kennesaw State, his fourth career game-winner inside the final two minutes.
After a brutal 33-7 loss at North Dakota State in Week 0, Jacksonville State has won three straight and sits at 4-2 overall and 2-0 in Conference USA. The Gamecocks have covered in four of six games and are coming off a 27-26 win at Kennesaw State in a rematch of the 2025 CUSA championship game. The offense has found its rhythm, scoring 49, 27, 31, and 23 points in the last four games, while the defense has shown improvement, holding Middle Tennessee to 13 points. The biggest question is whether the run defense can hold up against stronger opponents, and whether the running back committee can consistently support Creel. With a home game against Florida International next, Jacksonville State has a chance to extend its winning streak and solidify its position in the CUSA race.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks is 4-2-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 67% of games.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -4.5, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks's home field advantage rating is 2.5 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at -115 over and -115 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks travels 7,400 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 65th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks: 5-2 overall, 4-2-1 ATS, power rating -4.5 (2026 records).