Week 4September 20, 2025, 04:00 PM UTC
27
3-0
Big Ten
Power Rank: 1.6
@
FINAL
10
2-1
Big Ten
Power Rank: 1.6

By · Last updated

Maryland defeated Wisconsin 27–10 to secure a comfortable win. Maryland covered by 27.5; Game went Under by 7.5.

General Information

Week: Week 4
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:00 AM CDT
Stadium: Camp Randall Stadium
Capacity: 76,057
Elevation: 909 ft
HFA Rating: 2.1
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread Wisconsin -10.5
Total (O/U) 44.5
Odds Implied Score MD 17.0 - 27.5 WIS
Power Rank Implied Line Pick
Prediction Markets Wisconsin 77% Win Chance (Kalshi)
Maryland @ Wisconsin Preview

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Maryland
Wisconsin
Home field: Camp Randall Stadium
Weather: Light rain shower
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for Maryland vs Wisconsin?

At kick-off, conditions at Camp Randall Stadium were Light rain shower, 66.2°F, Feels Like 66.2°F with winds of 3.4 mph. Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: September 20, 2025
Light rain shower

Light rain shower

66.2°F

Feels Like: 66.2°F
Wind: 3.4 mph N
Gusts: 4.0 mph
Precipitation: 0.09"
Humidity: 94%
Rain Chance: 100%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Maryland (Away)

This Week: 708.7 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 708.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

Wisconsin (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1375.5 miles
Season Total: 1375.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 7

What are the key factors for Maryland vs Wisconsin?

Maryland: Key Factors

Dominant defensive performance

Maryland recorded six sacks, blocked a field goal and a punt, and returned an interception 46 yards to set up a touchdown, showcasing a physical and opportunistic defense that stifled Wisconsin's offense.

Freshman QB Malik Washington shines in Big Ten debut

Washington threw for 265 yards and two touchdowns to Shaleak Knotts, and also ran for a score, demonstrating poise and playmaking ability that bodes well for future games.

Balanced offensive attack

Octavian Smith Jr. had six catches for 113 yards, and Knotts added three catches for 80 yards and two scores, giving Washington reliable targets and spreading the field effectively.

Favorable upcoming schedule

Maryland's next three games are against Washington, Nebraska, and UCLA, all winnable matchups, and they avoid top Big Ten teams Ohio State, Penn State, and Oregon, setting up a potential 7-0 start.

Historic win and team confidence

This was Maryland's first win over Wisconsin since joining the Big Ten, and the team's 4-0 start matches last season's win total, boosting morale and belief that 'this isn't the same old Maryland.'

Wisconsin: Key Factors

Offensive Line Struggles

Wisconsin's offensive line featured three redshirt freshmen, leading to poor protection and limited rushing attack. Quarterback Danny O'Neil was sacked multiple times and the team managed only 10 points, with the lone touchdown coming late in the fourth quarter.

Quarterback Uncertainty

Starter Billy Edwards Jr. was ineffective and limped off after one series, forcing backup Danny O'Neil into action. O'Neil completed 14 of 22 passes for 120 yards and an interception, but the offense lacked consistency and big plays.

Defensive Lapses

The defense allowed 27 points, including two touchdowns off turnovers (interception and blocked punt). Maryland's offense gained 265 passing yards and recorded six sacks, exposing Wisconsin's inability to generate pressure or stop the run.

Special Teams Failures

Kicker Nathanial Vakos had a field goal blocked and missed a 51-yard attempt, while the punt team also had a kick blocked. These mistakes contributed to the 20-0 halftime deficit and killed any momentum.

Tough Upcoming Schedule

After a bye week, Wisconsin faces a brutal October slate: at No. 21 Michigan, home vs. Iowa and No. 1 Ohio State, then at No. 6 Oregon. The team must quickly address offensive line and quarterback issues to compete.

What happened in the game?

Maryland travels 709 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Maryland arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Maryland won by 17 to secure a comfortable win.

Maryland covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 7.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Camp Randall Stadium?

Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Maryland and Wisconsin compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings rate Maryland (1.6) and Wisconsin (1.6) as essentially equal on a neutral field. In this range, HFA, travel, rest, and weather context carry more weight than the raw rating differential. Wisconsin brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Maryland won and Maryland covered the spread.