Week 4September 20, 2025, 10:00 PM UTC
21
1-2
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -9.8
@
FINAL
28
1-2
CUSA
Power Rank: -3.6

By · Last updated

Kennesaw State defeated Arkansas State 28–21 in a one-score game. Kennesaw State covered by 11.5; Game went Under by 8.5.

General Information

Week: Week 4
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:00 PM EDT
Stadium: Fifth Third Stadium
Capacity: 10,200
Elevation: 1096 ft
HFA Rating: 2.2
Playing Surface: Hybrid

Betting Information

Spread Arkansas State -4.5
Total (O/U) 57.5
Odds Implied Score ARST 31.0 - 26.5 KENN
Power Rank Implied Line Kennesaw State -6.2
Prediction Markets Arkansas State 64% Win Chance (Kalshi)
Arkansas State @ Kennesaw State Preview

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Your line Kennesaw State +6.2
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Arkansas State
Kennesaw State
Home field: Fifth Third Stadium
Weather: Thundery outbreaks possible
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for Arkansas State vs Kennesaw State?

At kick-off, conditions at Fifth Third Stadium were Thundery outbreaks possible, 79.0°F, Heat Index 81.5°F with winds of 5.4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: September 20, 2025
Thundery outbreaks possible

Thundery outbreaks possible

79.0°F

Heat Index: 81.5°F
Wind: 5.4 mph E
Gusts: 8.5 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 62%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Arkansas State (Away)

This Week: 368.2 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 609.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 17:00
Rest Days: 7

Kennesaw State (Home)

This Week: 2.8 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 1312.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 7

What happened in the game?

Arkansas State travels 368 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Arkansas State arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Kennesaw State won by 7 in a one-score game.

Kennesaw State covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 8.5 points.

How do Arkansas State and Kennesaw State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Kennesaw State (-3.6) over Arkansas State (-9.8) by 6.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Kennesaw State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Kennesaw State won and Kennesaw State covered the spread.