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Week 4 •
SHI Stadium

Iowa38 @FINAL 28Rutgers

2-1 Big Ten Power rating: 18.7
3-0 Big Ten Power rating: 2.2

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
IOWA -2.5
PM Implied
IOWA -1.1
Blue Chip model
IOWA -14.6
Edge
-12.1IOWA
See details
◂ favors IOWAfavors RUTG ▸Market: IOWA -2.5
‹ 16.5 IOWA
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
RUTG
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
5 IOWA5 RUTG10 IOWA10 RUTGModel: IOWA -14.6

Betting information

Spread
IOWA -2.5
Total
46.5
Odds implied score
IOWA 24.5 – 22.0 RUTG
Prediction markets
IOWA 56% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Iowa defeated Rutgers 38–28 in a double-digit victory. Iowa covered by 7.5; Game went Over by 19.5. The market closed at Iowa -2.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Iowa -14.6 - a gap of 12.1 points toward Iowa, of which 11.4 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Iowa vs Rutgers?

At kickoff, conditions at SHI Stadium were Clear, 67°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Iowa travels 894 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Iowa arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Iowa won by 10 in a double-digit victory.

Iowa covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 19.5 points.

How do Iowa and Rutgers compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Iowa (18.7) over Rutgers (2.2) by 16.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Rutgers faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Rutgers brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Iowa and Rutgers?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Iowa won and Iowa covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 20, 2025 Game-time

Clear

67°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity63%
Wind6 mph N
Gusts10 mph
Wind map for Iowa at Rutgers: aerial view of SHI Stadium, wind from the N at 6 mph, gusting to 10.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 4
Kickoff (local)
08:00 PM EDT
Venue
SHI Stadium
Capacity
52,454
Elevation
69 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

IowaAway RutgersHome
This week894 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total1,115 miles0 miles
Body clock19:0020:00
Rest7 days7 days

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