Week 4 • September 20, 2025, 11:30 PM UTC
3-0
Big Ten
Power Rank: 13.0
10 FINAL 63
3-0
Big Ten
Power Rank: 29.7
Indiana covered by 49.5 | Game went Over by 20.5

Indiana defeated Illinois 63–10 in a dominant performance.

Illinois @ Indiana Preview

General Information

Week: Week 4
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:30 PM EDT
Stadium: Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
Capacity: 52,626
Elevation: 787 ft
HFA Rating: 2.3
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Indiana -3.5
Total (O/U) 52.5
Expected Score ILL 24.5 - 28.0 IU
Power Rank Implied Line Indiana +16.7
Prediction Markets Indiana 71% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Light snow

Light snow

24.9°F

Wind Chill: 18.2°F
Wind: 5.1 mph WNW
Gusts: 9.4 mph
Precipitation: 0.02"
Humidity: 98%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 81%

Travel & Rest

Illinois (Away)

This Week: 111.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 1271.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:30
Rest Days: 7

Indiana (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 0.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 8

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Indiana -3.5
Total Points 52.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Illinois 13.0
Indiana 29.7
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 111 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Indiana +1
HFA: Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
Capacity 52,626
Elevation 787 ft
Weather: Light snow
Temperature 24.9°F
Wind Speed 5.1 mph
Your Line Indiana +16.7
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Illinois vs Indiana?

Illinois: Key Factors

Indiana: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Illinois travels 111 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Illinois arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Indiana won by 53 in a dominant performance.

Indiana covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 20.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)?

At 24.9°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 64%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Illinois and Indiana compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Indiana (29.7) over Illinois (13.0) by 16.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Indiana brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Indiana won and Indiana covered the spread.