Kennesaw State Owls

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Kennesaw State Owls is 1-6 on the season, 4-3 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -14.1. Kennesaw State Owls is covering the spread at 62% since the start of last season (13-8), well above the FBS average. The Kennesaw State Owls head to Middle Tennessee next in Week 9.

Conference: Conference USA
Stadium: Fifth Third Stadium, Kennesaw, GA
Power Rating (most current): -14.1
HFA Rating:2.5 pts
2026 Win Total:6.5
2026 Record: 1-6
2026 ATS: 4-3
2026 O/U: 1-6

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 8 of 2026 the Kennesaw State Owls Power Rating of -14.1 is 14.1 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Kennesaw State Owls have logged 2,078 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 4,213 miles, ranking 115th heaviest in the FBS.

Kennesaw State Owls Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachJerry Mack
Tenure1 season
Record at school10-4
Career record41-19 (5 seasons)
Offensive coordinatorMitch Militello
Defensive coordinatorMarc Mattioli

Offense

Rickie Collins QB, Landon Varnes QB, Triston Morgan RB, Latrelle Murrell RB, Javon Rogers WR, JaDarious Lee OL, Nikola Milovac OL, Mateo Guevara OL

Defense

Marcus Patterson DL, Donovan Westmoreland EDGE, Baron Hopson LB, Kody Jones CB, Isaac Paul S

Special teams

Daniel Kinney K, Matt McKenzie P

2025 Season in Review

Record10-4 ATS9-5 O/U6-8
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 10-11-00-1
Week 20-21-11-1
Week 31-21-21-2
Week 42-22-21-3
Week 53-23-21-4
Week 74-24-21-5
Week 95-25-22-5
Week 106-26-23-5
Week 117-26-33-6
Week 127-36-44-6
Week 138-37-45-6
Week 149-38-46-6
Week 1510-39-46-7
Postseason10-49-56-8

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened -11.1 in the preseason and finished -14.1 after week 8, a move of -3.1 points. High -9.4 (week 2), low -14.1 (week 8).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from -11.1 to -14.1.

PreW8

Kennesaw State Owls SP+ Profile

Offence+21.3101 of 138higher is better
Defence+30.198 of 138lower is better
Special teams-0.5119 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±2.3 pts
HFA measured+2.5 pts
HFA applied+2.5 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.0 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Arkansas State11-01-0
Jacksonville State31-21-2
Missouri State11-01-0
Liberty22-02-0
Middle Tennessee21-11-1
Sam Houston10-11-0
Florida International22-02-0
Western Kentucky10-11-0

No meeting on record since 2016: West Georgia, Georgia State, Tennessee, Delaware.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home8-48-4 ATS · 12 games
On the road4-96-7 ATS · 13 games
Neutral site0-10-1 ATS · 1 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

4,213 miles - ranked 115th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 4,213 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 04,213 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1West GeorgiaHome0 mi
Week 2Georgia StateHome0 mi
Week 3Tennessee139 mi278 mi
Week 4Arkansas State366 mi1,009 mi
Week 5-Bye
Week 6Jacksonville StateHome1,009 mi
Week 7Missouri State534 mi2,078 mi
Week 8LibertyHome2,078 mi
Week 9Middle Tennessee161 mi2,399 mi
Week 10DelawareHome2,399 mi
Week 11Sam Houston678 mi3,755 mi
Week 12Florida InternationalHome3,755 mi
Week 13Western Kentucky229 mi4,213 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Kennesaw State Owls Season Outlook

A championship encore turns into a rebuild

Kennesaw State entered 2026 as defending Conference USA champions and a program that had won 10 games in just its second FBS season, but the roster that produced that run was gutted. Quarterback Amari Odom left for Syracuse, top receiver Gabe Benyard graduated, and the offense was handed to a pair of newcomers in Rickie Collins (Syracuse transfer) and Landon Varnes (Mississippi Gulf Coast CC). The Owls opened with a 47-0 shutout of West Georgia, their first blanking since 2021, but that turned out to be the high point. Since then they have dropped five straight and sit at 1-5 overall and 0-2 in league play, a stark reversal from last year's title run.

The offense has not found a rhythm against FBS defenses

After hanging 40 first-half points on West Georgia, the Owls have struggled to sustain drives against scholarship opponents. They managed only 17 points against Georgia State, nine at Tennessee, 14 at Arkansas State, 26 against Jacksonville State, and 21 at Missouri State. The run game that produced two Latrelle Murrell touchdowns and a 60-yard Triston Morgan score in the opener has not broken a long gain since, putting more pressure on Collins. He has shown flashes (260 yards passing against Georgia State and Missouri State, 281 against Jacksonville State) but the offense has yet to score a first-half touchdown against an FBS defense, forcing the Owls to play from behind or rely on late scores.

The defensive front remains the team's identity

Kennesaw State tied for first in Conference USA with 31 sacks last season and returned its top rushers in Marcus Patterson and Donovan Westmoreland, who had four sacks and 37 tackles a year ago. That group was expected to anchor the defense, and it has been the most competitive unit even in lopsided losses. The Owls opened with a shutout of West Georgia and held Georgia State to 31 points despite allowing 483 total yards. Against Tennessee, the defensive front was the most competitive part of the team. Safety Isaac Paul and nickel Kody Jones provide experience in the secondary, but the pass rush remains the engine. If Patterson and Westmoreland can generate consistent pressure, the Owls have a puncher's chance to stay in games.

Special teams and situational football have been costly

Kicker Daniel Kinney, finally healthy after an undisclosed injury, has had mixed results. He missed a 32-yard field goal late in the fourth quarter at Arkansas State that would have extended a 14-14 tie, and the Red Wolves went on to win 17-14. Against Jacksonville State, Kinney made a 28-yard field goal with 2:15 left to give the Owls a 26-23 lead, but the defense could not hold. Punter Matt McKenzie, an Australian who transferred from Arizona State, has been serviceable but not a game-changer. In a season defined by close losses (three of the five defeats have come by seven points or fewer), those hidden yards and missed opportunities loom large.

The schedule offers a chance to stabilize, but margin for error is thin

The Owls have already faced a brutal stretch: back-to-back road trips to Tennessee and Arkansas State, then a home game against Jacksonville State, then a long trip to Missouri State. They return home to host Liberty, a 5-1 team with a power rating of 2.3, as a 10-point underdog. After that, the remaining conference slate provides opportunities, but Kennesaw State must clean up its first-half offensive woes and finish drives. The defense has kept them in games, but the offense has yet to prove it can consistently score against FBS competition. With five losses already, the Owls are playing for bowl eligibility and to build momentum for 2027. The pieces are there (Collins's mobility, a veteran defensive front), but the consistency is not.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Kennesaw State Owls's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Kennesaw State Owls is 4-3 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 57% of games.

What is Kennesaw State Owls's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Kennesaw State Owls holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -14.1, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Kennesaw State Owls's home field advantage rating?

Kennesaw State Owls's home field advantage rating is 2.5 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Kennesaw State Owls's 2026 win total?

Kennesaw State Owls's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 6.5 wins, priced at +100 over and -130 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Kennesaw State Owls travel in 2026?

Kennesaw State Owls travels 4,213 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 115th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Kennesaw State Owls: 1-6 overall, 4-3 ATS, power rating -14.1 (2026 records).