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Kennesaw State Owls is 1-6 on the season, 4-3 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -14.1. Kennesaw State Owls is covering the spread at 62% since the start of last season (13-8), well above the FBS average. The Kennesaw State Owls head to Middle Tennessee next in Week 9.
In Week 8 of 2026 the Kennesaw State Owls Power Rating of -14.1 is 14.1 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Kennesaw State Owls have logged 2,078 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 4,213 miles, ranking 115th heaviest in the FBS.
Rickie Collins QB, Landon Varnes QB, Triston Morgan RB, Latrelle Murrell RB, Javon Rogers WR, JaDarious Lee OL, Nikola Milovac OL, Mateo Guevara OL
Marcus Patterson DL, Donovan Westmoreland EDGE, Baron Hopson LB, Kody Jones CB, Isaac Paul S
Daniel Kinney K, Matt McKenzie P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Week 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Week 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Week 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Week 7 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 1-5 |
| Week 9 | 5-2 | 5-2 | 2-5 |
| Week 10 | 6-2 | 6-2 | 3-5 |
| Week 11 | 7-2 | 6-3 | 3-6 |
| Week 12 | 7-3 | 6-4 | 4-6 |
| Week 13 | 8-3 | 7-4 | 5-6 |
| Week 14 | 9-3 | 8-4 | 6-6 |
| Week 15 | 10-3 | 9-4 | 6-7 |
| Postseason | 10-4 | 9-5 | 6-8 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened -11.1 in the preseason and finished -14.1 after week 8, a move of -3.1 points. High -9.4 (week 2), low -14.1 (week 8).
PreW8
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.0 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Jacksonville State | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Missouri State | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Liberty | 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Middle Tennessee | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Sam Houston | 1 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Florida International | 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Western Kentucky | 1 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
No meeting on record since 2016: West Georgia, Georgia State, Tennessee, Delaware.
Week 04,213 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | West Georgia | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Georgia State | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 3 | Tennessee | 139 mi | 278 mi |
| Week 4 | Arkansas State | 366 mi | 1,009 mi |
| Week 5 | - | Bye | |
| Week 6 | Jacksonville State | Home | 1,009 mi |
| Week 7 | Missouri State | 534 mi | 2,078 mi |
| Week 8 | Liberty | Home | 2,078 mi |
| Week 9 | Middle Tennessee | 161 mi | 2,399 mi |
| Week 10 | Delaware | Home | 2,399 mi |
| Week 11 | Sam Houston | 678 mi | 3,755 mi |
| Week 12 | Florida International | Home | 3,755 mi |
| Week 13 | Western Kentucky | 229 mi | 4,213 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Kennesaw State entered 2026 as defending Conference USA champions and a program that had won 10 games in just its second FBS season, but the roster that produced that run was gutted. Quarterback Amari Odom left for Syracuse, top receiver Gabe Benyard graduated, and the offense was handed to a pair of newcomers in Rickie Collins (Syracuse transfer) and Landon Varnes (Mississippi Gulf Coast CC). The Owls opened with a 47-0 shutout of West Georgia, their first blanking since 2021, but that turned out to be the high point. Since then they have dropped five straight and sit at 1-5 overall and 0-2 in league play, a stark reversal from last year's title run.
After hanging 40 first-half points on West Georgia, the Owls have struggled to sustain drives against scholarship opponents. They managed only 17 points against Georgia State, nine at Tennessee, 14 at Arkansas State, 26 against Jacksonville State, and 21 at Missouri State. The run game that produced two Latrelle Murrell touchdowns and a 60-yard Triston Morgan score in the opener has not broken a long gain since, putting more pressure on Collins. He has shown flashes (260 yards passing against Georgia State and Missouri State, 281 against Jacksonville State) but the offense has yet to score a first-half touchdown against an FBS defense, forcing the Owls to play from behind or rely on late scores.
Kennesaw State tied for first in Conference USA with 31 sacks last season and returned its top rushers in Marcus Patterson and Donovan Westmoreland, who had four sacks and 37 tackles a year ago. That group was expected to anchor the defense, and it has been the most competitive unit even in lopsided losses. The Owls opened with a shutout of West Georgia and held Georgia State to 31 points despite allowing 483 total yards. Against Tennessee, the defensive front was the most competitive part of the team. Safety Isaac Paul and nickel Kody Jones provide experience in the secondary, but the pass rush remains the engine. If Patterson and Westmoreland can generate consistent pressure, the Owls have a puncher's chance to stay in games.
Kicker Daniel Kinney, finally healthy after an undisclosed injury, has had mixed results. He missed a 32-yard field goal late in the fourth quarter at Arkansas State that would have extended a 14-14 tie, and the Red Wolves went on to win 17-14. Against Jacksonville State, Kinney made a 28-yard field goal with 2:15 left to give the Owls a 26-23 lead, but the defense could not hold. Punter Matt McKenzie, an Australian who transferred from Arizona State, has been serviceable but not a game-changer. In a season defined by close losses (three of the five defeats have come by seven points or fewer), those hidden yards and missed opportunities loom large.
The Owls have already faced a brutal stretch: back-to-back road trips to Tennessee and Arkansas State, then a home game against Jacksonville State, then a long trip to Missouri State. They return home to host Liberty, a 5-1 team with a power rating of 2.3, as a 10-point underdog. After that, the remaining conference slate provides opportunities, but Kennesaw State must clean up its first-half offensive woes and finish drives. The defense has kept them in games, but the offense has yet to prove it can consistently score against FBS competition. With five losses already, the Owls are playing for bowl eligibility and to build momentum for 2027. The pieces are there (Collins's mobility, a veteran defensive front), but the consistency is not.
Kennesaw State Owls is 4-3 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 57% of games.
Kennesaw State Owls holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -14.1, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Kennesaw State Owls's home field advantage rating is 2.5 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Kennesaw State Owls's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 6.5 wins, priced at +100 over and -130 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Kennesaw State Owls travels 4,213 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 115th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Kennesaw State Owls: 1-6 overall, 4-3 ATS, power rating -14.1 (2026 records).