Week 4
Jerry Richardson Stadium

Rice28 @FINAL 17Charlotte , Week 4, Sep 18, 2025

2-1 American Power rating: -16.7
1-2 American Power rating: -21.4

How did the line hold up?

Market line
RICE -1.5
PM Implied
RICE -1.3
Blue Chip model
RICE -3.4
Edge
-1.9RICE
See details
◂ favors RICEfavors COLLE ▸Market: RICE -1.5
‹ 4.7 RICE
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COLLE
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1 RICE1 COLLE2 RICE2 COLLEModel: RICE -3.4

Betting information

Spread
RICE -1.5
Total
42.5
Odds implied score
RICE 22.0 – 20.5 COLLE
Prediction markets
RICE 56% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Rice defeated Charlotte 28–17 in a double-digit victory. Rice covered by 9.5; Game went Over by 2.5. The market closed at Rice -1.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Rice -3.4, an edge of 1.9 points toward Rice.

What are the key factors for Rice vs Charlotte?

Rice

First 3-1 start since 2001

Rice improved to 3-1 for the first time since 2001, showing early-season success under first-year coach Scott Abell, who is the first Rice coach since 1967 to win three of his first four games.

Balanced rushing attack

Rice rushed for over 200 yards as a team, with Chase Jenkins (71 yards, 1 TD), Daelen Alexander (73 yards, 2 TDs), and Quinton Jackson (80 yards) all contributing, indicating a strong ground game that can control the clock.

Efficient passing from Jenkins

Chase Jenkins completed 8 of 11 passes for 87 yards and a touchdown, showing efficiency and decision-making that limits turnovers and keeps drives alive.

Defensive stops in crunch time

Rice recorded key sacks on Charlotte's final two possessions to seal the win, demonstrating an ability to make critical defensive plays under pressure.

Revenge for last year's loss

Rice avenged a heartbreaking 21-20 loss to Charlotte last season, where Charlotte scored a late touchdown with 47 seconds left, showing mental toughness and improvement.

Charlotte

Offensive Struggles Continue

Charlotte managed only 17 points, with their first touchdown coming late in the fourth quarter. Quarterback Grayson Loftis completed 15 of 31 passes for 186 yards but lacked consistency, while Conner Harrell, who had a strong game the previous week, was limited to 73 yards on 8-of-13 passing.

Defensive Lapses in Key Moments

The defense allowed Rice to control the game, giving up 28 points and failing to stop the run effectively. Rice rushed for over 150 yards, and critical sacks on Charlotte's final two possessions sealed the loss.

Special Teams Bright Spot

Kicker Liam Boyd was a positive factor, converting 3 of 4 field goal attempts with a long of 40 yards, providing the only points for Charlotte until the late touchdown.

Turnover Margin and Penalties Not Mentioned

The recap does not highlight turnovers or penalties, suggesting these were not decisive factors, but the team's inability to generate big plays or sustain drives was evident.

Need for Improved Offensive Rhythm

With a 1-3 record, Charlotte must find a more consistent offensive identity. The quarterback rotation between Loftis and Harrell has not yielded consistent results, and the running game needs to step up to support the passing attack.

What were the weather conditions for Rice vs Charlotte?

At kickoff, conditions at Jerry Richardson Stadium were Overcast, 73°F with winds of 2 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Rice travels 938 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Rice arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Rice won by 11 in a double-digit victory.

Rice covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 2.5 points.

How do Rice and Charlotte compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Rice (-16.7) over Charlotte (-21.4) by 4.7 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Charlotte faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Charlotte brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Rice won and Rice covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 18, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

73°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity60%
Wind2 mph S
Gusts4 mph
Wind map for Rice at Charlotte: aerial view of Jerry Richardson Stadium, wind from the S at 1.8 mph, gusting to 3.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 4
Kickoff (local)
07:30 PM EDT
Venue
Jerry Richardson Stadium
Capacity
15,314
Elevation
643 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure RiceAway CharlotteHome
This week938 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total1,348 miles17 miles
Body clock18:3019:30
Rest5 days5 days