DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
Memphis defeated Troy 28–7 to secure a comfortable win. Memphis covered by 16.5; Game went Under by 16.5. The market closed at Memphis -4.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Memphis -11.6 - a gap of 7.1 points toward Memphis, of which 5.8 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.
Sutton Smith ran for 113 yards and two touchdowns, leading Memphis to 217 total rushing yards. This ground game control was key to the win and suggests a strong run-first identity moving forward.
Memphis held Troy to only 112 total yards and prevented them from crossing midfield until late in the fourth quarter. The defense forced a key interception at the goal line, showing they can shut down opposing offenses.
The only score in the second half was a late touchdown run by Makari Bodiford. Memphis failed to maintain offensive momentum after halftime, which could be a concern against tougher opponents.
Quarterback Brendon Lewis was strip-sacked, leading to a fumble returned for a Troy touchdown. Protecting the ball will be critical to avoid giving up easy scores in future games.
Troy's offense managed only 112 total yards and did not cross midfield until late in the fourth quarter, indicating significant issues with moving the ball and sustaining drives.
The defense forced a fumble that was returned for a touchdown by Taleeq Robbins, providing the team's only score and showing potential for creating turnovers.
The offense committed a costly interception on a goal-to-go situation from the 5-yard line, highlighting a tendency to turn the ball over in critical moments.
With Memphis holding Troy to minimal rushing yards, the team struggled to establish a ground game, which could be a key area to address in preparation for the next opponent.
At kickoff, conditions at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL) were Sunny, 86°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Sunny
86°F
| Measure | MemphisAway | TroyHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 326 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | 666 miles | 536 miles |
| Season total | 992 miles | 536 miles |
| Body clock | 11:00 | 11:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
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