Sacramento State defeated Mercyhurst 49–28 to secure a comfortable win. Mercyhurst covered by 0.5; Game went Over by 19.5. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Mercyhurst 19.0 points stronger on a neutral field.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Hornet Stadium were Clear, 61.9°F, Feels Like 61.9°F with winds of 10.5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
61.9°F
Mercyhurst travels 2,177 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.
Mercyhurst arrives with a 3-hour body clock disadvantage.
Sacramento State won by 21 to secure a comfortable win.
Mercyhurst covered the spread narrowly.
The total went Over by 19.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Mercyhurst (1.0) over Sacramento State (-18.0) by 19.0 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Sacramento State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Sacramento State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Sacramento State won and Mercyhurst covered the spread.
