DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
Hawai'i defeated Portland State 23–3 to secure a comfortable win. Portland State covered by 15.5; Game went Under by 28.5. The market closed at Hawai'i -35.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Hawai'i -22.0 - a gap of 13.5 points toward Portland State, of which 11.7 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.
At kickoff, conditions at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex were Patchy rain possible, 76°F with winds of 16 mph. Wind of 16 mph is enough to matter to the total: the market has historically taken about 1.7 points off the number in this band. It is worth re-checking closer to kickoff. Gusts reaching 21 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Patchy rain possible
76°F
| Measure | Portland StateAway | Hawai'iHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 2,585 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Bye week | Home game |
| Season total | 3,939 miles | 5,937 miles |
| Body clock | 20:59 | 17:59 |
| Rest | 8 days | 7 days |
