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Week 3 •
Center Parc Stadium

Murray State21 @FINAL 37Georgia State

0-0 MVFC Power rating: -32.0
0-2 Sun Belt Power rating: -18.2

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
GAST -31.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
GAST -15.1
Edge
-16.4MUR
See details
◂ favors MURfavors GAST ▸Market: GAST -31.5
GAST
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
GAST
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
5 MUR5 GAST10 MUR10 GAST15 MUR15 GASTModel: GAST -15.1

Betting information

Spread
GAST -31.5
Total
63.5
Odds implied score
MUR 16.0 – 47.5 GAST

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Georgia State defeated Murray State 37–21 in a double-digit victory. Murray State covered by 15.5; Game went Under by 5.5. The market closed at Georgia State -31.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Georgia State -15.1 - a gap of 16.4 points toward Murray State, of which 15.7 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Murray State vs Georgia State?

At kickoff, conditions at Center Parc Stadium were Partly cloudy, 76°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Murray State travels 298 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Murray State arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Georgia State won by 16 in a double-digit victory.

Murray State covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 5.5 points.

How do Murray State and Georgia State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Georgia State (-18.2) over Murray State (-32.0) by 13.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Georgia State brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Murray State and Georgia State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Georgia State won and Murray State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 13, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

76°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity57%
Wind3 mph ENE
Gusts5 mph
Wind map for Murray State at Georgia State: aerial view of Center Parc Stadium, wind from the ENE at 2.7 mph, gusting to 4.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 3
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM EDT
Venue
Center Parc Stadium
Capacity
24,333
Elevation
978 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Murray StateAway Georgia StateHome
This week298 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekHome game
Season total298 miles597 miles
Body clock18:0019:00
Rest7 days7 days

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