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Week 14 •
Mercedes-Benz StadiumNeutral siteIndoor

Georgia16 @FINAL 9Georgia Tech

10-1 SEC Power rating: 22.1
9-2 ACC Power rating: 13.8

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UGA -16.5
PM Implied
UGA -10.9
Blue Chip model
UGA -8.3
Edge
+8.2GT
See details
◂ favors UGAfavors GT ▸Market: UGA -16.5
UGA
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
neutral
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
5 UGA5 GTModel: UGA -8.3

Betting information

Spread
UGA -16.5
Total
60.5
Odds implied score
UGA 38.5 – 22.0 GT
Prediction markets
UGA 85% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Georgia defeated Georgia Tech 16–9 in a one-score game. Georgia Tech covered by 9.5; Game went Under by 35.5. The market closed at Georgia -16.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Georgia -8.3 - a gap of 8.2 points toward Georgia Tech, of which 8.2 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Georgia vs Georgia Tech?

Georgia Tech

Offensive Struggles in Rivalry Loss

Georgia Tech managed only 9 points, with no offensive touchdowns, and were held to 69 rushing yards. Quarterback Haynes King threw an interception and the team failed to convert drives into touchdowns, highlighting a critical weakness against top-tier defenses.

Special Teams Blunders Costly

A fumbled opening kickoff and a shanked punt gave Georgia short fields, directly leading to the game's only touchdown. These errors proved decisive in a low-scoring game, emphasizing the need for improved special teams execution.

Defense Keeps Game Close

Despite offensive struggles, the defense held Georgia to 16 points and forced a late-game stand, giving the offense a chance to tie. This performance shows the defense can compete with elite teams, but needs more offensive support.

Playoff Hopes Hinge on Other Results

Georgia Tech needs Miami, SMU, and Virginia to lose on Saturday to earn a spot in the ACC championship game. Their fate is out of their hands, adding uncertainty to their postseason outlook.

Running Game Ineffective

Coach Brent Key lamented the lack of a running game, with Jamal Haynes gaining only 11 yards on seven carries. The inability to establish the run limited offensive balance and put pressure on the passing game.

What were the weather conditions for Georgia vs Georgia Tech?

This game was played indoors at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in a climate-controlled environment. Weather was not a factor.

What happened in the game?

Georgia travels 61 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Georgia won by 7 in a one-score game.

Georgia Tech covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 35.5 points.

How do Georgia and Georgia Tech compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Georgia (22.1) over Georgia Tech (13.8) by 8.3 points on a neutral field. Georgia Tech faces a power rating deficit at a neutral venue. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Neither team has a home-field advantage here, so the neutral-field differential above is already the venue-adjusted read.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Georgia and Georgia Tech?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Georgia won and Georgia Tech covered the spread.

Conditions

Indoor, climate controlled

~72°F

Mercedes-Benz Stadium is a domed venue. Wind, precipitation and temperature are not factors in this game.

Wind map for Georgia at Georgia Tech: aerial view of Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Quick facts

Week
Week 14
Kickoff (local)
03:30 PM EST
Venue
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Capacity
71,000
Elevation
1,027 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

GeorgiaAway Georgia TechHome
This week61 miles1 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total1,819 miles6,287 miles
Body clock15:3015:30
Rest6 days5 days

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