26
Final
23
38
Final
61
13
Final
20
30
Final
24
34
Final
6
31
Final
34
34
Final
41
16
Final
35
19
Final
16
38
Final
35
14
Final
28
28
Final
31
38
Final
45
14
Final
42
24
Final
20
13
Final
6
20
Final
59
49
Final
51
23
Final
52
24
Final
37
38
Final
17
24
Final
25
28
Final
27
20
Final
35
10
Final
21
24
Final
27
56
Final
21
31
Final
39
24
Final
31
20
Final
31
49
Final
39
10
Final
13
23
Final
15
10
Final
28
17
Final
34
49
Final
27
17
Final
28
20
Final
24
21
Final
14
13
Final
28
31
Final
35
0
Final
26
31
Final
10
49
Final
56
20
Final
16
24
Final
57
32
Final
38
3
Final
39
17
Final
20
7
Final
24
27
Final
34
17
Final
34
31
Final
30
42
Final
19
16
Final
21
13
Final
21
Louisville Cardinals is 4-3 on the season, 4-3 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +12.8. Louisville Cardinals is covering at just 40% since the start of last season (8-12), below the FBS average, a notable trend for spread bettors. The Louisville Cardinals host Stanford next in Week 9.
In Week 7 of 2026 the Louisville Cardinals Power Rating of +12.8 is 12.8 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Louisville Cardinals have logged 2,359 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 3,934 miles, ranking 119th heaviest in the FBS.
Lincoln Kienholz QB, Davin Wydner QB, Isaac Brown RB, Tre Richardson WR, Lawayne McCoy WR, Brody Foley TE, Eryx Daugherty OL, Evan Wibberley OL, Jackson Voth WR
Clev Lubin EDGE, Tyler Thompson EDGE, Demeco Kennedy DL, T.J. Capers LB, Antonio Watts LB, Stanquan Clark LB, Koen Entringer S, Tayon Holloway CB
Carson Hilbert K, Nick Keller K, Jacob Baker P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Week 2 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Week 4 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Week 5 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Week 6 | 4-1 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Week 8 | 5-1 | 2-4 | 3-3 |
| Week 9 | 6-1 | 2-5 | 4-3 |
| Week 10 | 7-1 | 3-5 | 4-4 |
| Week 11 | 7-2 | 3-6 | 5-4 |
| Week 12 | 7-3 | 3-7 | 5-5 |
| Week 13 | 7-4 | 3-8 | 5-6 |
| Week 14 | 8-4 | 4-8 | 5-7 |
| Postseason | 9-4 | 4-9 | 6-7 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +11.6 in the preseason and finished +12.8 after week 8, a move of +1.2 points. High +13.9 (week 4), low +10.1 (week 6).
PreW8
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of +5.7 is regressed to +3.3 before it is applied, a difference of 2.4 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ole Miss | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| SMU | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Wake Forest | 7 | 4-3 | 4-3 |
| NC State | 7 | 4-3 | 3-4 |
| Florida State | 8 | 4-4 | 5-3 |
| Syracuse | 7 | 5-2 | 5-2 |
| Stanford | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Georgia Tech | 4 | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| North Carolina | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Pittsburgh | 5 | 3-2 | 3-1-1 |
| Kentucky | 9 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Villanova.
Week 03,934 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Ole Miss | 151 mi | 303 mi |
| Week 2 | Villanova | Home | 303 mi |
| Week 3 | SMU | Home | 303 mi |
| Week 4 | Wake Forest | Home | 303 mi |
| Week 5 | NC State | 423 mi | 1,149 mi |
| Week 6 | Florida State | Home | 1,149 mi |
| Week 7 | Syracuse | 605 mi | 2,359 mi |
| Week 8 | - | Bye | |
| Week 9 | Stanford | Home | 2,359 mi |
| Week 10 | Georgia Tech | 315 mi | 2,989 mi |
| Week 11 | North Carolina | 403 mi | 3,795 mi |
| Week 12 | Pittsburgh | Home | 3,795 mi |
| Week 13 | Kentucky | 69 mi | 3,934 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Louisville's offense has been explosive, averaging 38 points per game. Quarterback Lincoln Kienholz, a transfer from Ohio State, has thrown for over 300 yards in multiple games and added a rushing threat. He became the first Louisville quarterback to throw for 300+ yards in his first two starts. The Cardinals have scored 38, 59, 41, 27, 28, and 44 points. They rank among the nation's best in total offense, with 537 yards against Florida State. The running game, led by Isaac Brown, has been inconsistent but showed signs of life with Brown's 235-yard outburst against Florida State. The offensive line, rebuilt with transfers, has struggled at times but has protected Kienholz well enough to produce big numbers.
The Cardinals' defense has been vulnerable to explosive passing plays, surrendering 351 passing yards to Ole Miss, 225 to Wake Forest, and 373 to NC State. New safety Koen Entringer and corner Tayon Holloway have been beaten deep repeatedly. The pass rush, led by Clev Lubin and Tyler Thompson, has been inconsistent. Penalties have been a major issue, with Louisville committing 11 for 110 yards against SMU and nine for 90 yards against Wake Forest. These penalties have extended drives for opponents and killed Louisville's own drives. The defense has shown playmaking ability with interceptions (Kaleb Beasley had two against SMU) but needs to be more consistent.
Louisville has been inconsistent, suffering two straight losses to Wake Forest and NC State after a 2-1 start. Both losses were winnable games where the Cardinals made critical mistakes. Against Wake Forest, they missed a late field goal and had a punt blocked. Against NC State, they turned the ball over on downs and had a fumble. The team has yet to put together a complete game against a quality opponent. However, they bounced back with a dominant 44-20 win over Florida State, showing resilience. The Cardinals are 3-3 overall and 2-2 in ACC play, with a chance to build momentum.
Isaac Brown has emerged as a big-play threat, rushing for 235 yards and two touchdowns against Florida State, including a 97-yard run. He leads the team in rushing despite a slow start. Keyjuan Brown has also contributed, with a 163-yard game against SMU. Receiver Tre Richardson had 117 yards against NC State, and Lawayne McCoy has been a deep threat. Tight end Jaleel Skinner has made big plays. On defense, Kaleb Beasley has been a ballhawk with multiple interceptions. The kicking game has been shaky, with Carson Hilbert missing a key field goal against Wake Forest and Nick Keller having a kick blocked.
Louisville has an opportunity to get back on track with a favorable schedule ahead. They play at Syracuse next, a team with a 2-3 record and a low power rating. The Cardinals are 14.5-point favorites. After that, they have winnable games against teams they match up well with. The key will be cleaning up penalties, protecting the football, and getting more consistent play from the secondary. If they can do that, they have the talent to finish strong and potentially reach a bowl game. The offense is capable of carrying the team, but the defense must improve for Louisville to contend in the ACC.
Louisville Cardinals is 4-3 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 57% of games.
Louisville Cardinals holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +12.8, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Louisville Cardinals's home field advantage rating is 3.3 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Louisville Cardinals's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at -200 over and +160 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Louisville Cardinals travels 3,934 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 119th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Louisville Cardinals: 4-3 overall, 4-3 ATS, power rating +12.8 (2026 records).