Week 12
Waldo Stadium

Ohio13 @FINAL 17Western Michigan , Week 12, Nov 12, 2025

6-3 MAC Power rating: 2.7
5-4 MAC Power rating: -4.3

How did the line hold up?

Market line
WMU -1.5
PM Implied
WMU -0.5
Blue Chip model
OHIO -4.0
Edge
-5.5OHIO
See details
◂ favors OHIOfavors WMU ▸Market: WMU -1.5
‹ 7.0 OHIO
Adjust the power ratings by team
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
WMU
WMU
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WMU
2 OHIO2 WMU4 OHIO4 WMU6 OHIO6 WMUModel: OHIO -4.0

Betting information

Spread
WMU -1.5
Total
47.5
Odds implied score
OHIO 23.0 – 24.5 WMU
Prediction markets
WMU 53% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Western Michigan defeated Ohio 17–13 in a closely contested finish. Western Michigan covered by 2.5; Game went Under by 17.5. The market closed at Western Michigan -1.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Ohio -4.0 - a gap of 5.5 points toward Ohio, of which 4.2 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Ohio 7.0 points stronger on a neutral field.

What are the key factors for Ohio vs Western Michigan?

Western Michigan

Sole possession of first place in MAC

Western Michigan's 17-13 win over Ohio gave them a 5-1 conference record, putting them alone atop the MAC standings with a half-game lead over Miami (OH) and Buffalo.

Key offensive plays in second half

The Broncos' offense came alive in the second half, highlighted by a 71-yard catch-and-run by Tailique Williams that set up Jalen Buckley's go-ahead 3-yard touchdown run with 13:43 left, securing the win.

Defensive and special teams contributions

Chase Hallock's interception return of 37 yards set up a 46-yard field goal by Palmer Domschke for the game's first points, and the defense held Ohio to just 13 points, including a missed PAT.

Emotional Senior Night tribute

The team honored former player Marshawn Kneeland, who passed away, with jersey displays, helmet decals, and his number painted on the field, which may have provided extra motivation.

Rushing attack led by Broc Lowry and Jalen Buckley

Quarterback Broc Lowry and running back Jalen Buckley each scored a rushing touchdown, with Lowry's 1-yard run in the third quarter giving the Broncos a 10-7 lead and Buckley's 3-yard run proving to be the game-winner.

What were the weather conditions for Ohio vs Western Michigan?

At kickoff, conditions at Waldo Stadium were Cloudy, 33°F, wind chill 24°F with winds of 13 mph. Gusts reaching 22 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. At 33°F, cold is worth noting but is unlikely to be decisive. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Ohio travels 275 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Western Michigan won by 4 in a closely contested finish.

Western Michigan covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 17.5 points.

How do Ohio and Western Michigan compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Ohio (2.7) over Western Michigan (-4.3) by 7.0 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Western Michigan faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Western Michigan brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Western Michigan won and Western Michigan covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 12, 2025 Game-time

Cloudy

33°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity93%
Wind13 mph SW
Gusts22 mph
Wind chill24°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Ohio at Western Michigan: aerial view of Waldo Stadium, wind from the SW at 12.5 mph, gusting to 22.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
08:00 PM EST
Venue
Waldo Stadium
Capacity
36,361
Elevation
807 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure OhioAway Western MichiganHome
This week275 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameBye week
Season total2,048 miles2,267 miles
Body clock20:0020:00
Rest7 days11 days