Week 12November 15, 2025, 08:30 PM UTC
34
8-2
ACC
Power Rank: 12.7
@
FINAL
17
5-4
ACC
Power Rank: 8.9

By · Last updated

Virginia defeated Duke 34–17 to secure a comfortable win. Virginia covered by 22.5; Game went Under by 8.5.

General Information

Week: Week 12
Kick Off (at stadium): 03:30 PM EST
Stadium: Wallace Wade Stadium
Capacity: 35,018
Elevation: 384 ft
HFA Rating: 2.9
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Duke -5.5
Total (O/U) 59.5
Odds Implied Score UVA 27.0 - 32.5 DUKE
Power Rank Implied Line Virginia -3.8
Prediction Markets Duke 65% Win Chance (Kalshi)
Virginia @ Duke Preview

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Virginia
Duke
Home field: Wallace Wade Stadium
Weather: Overcast
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for Virginia vs Duke?

At kick-off, conditions at Wallace Wade Stadium were Overcast, 64.8°F, Feels Like 64.8°F with winds of 9.4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: November 15, 2025
Overcast

Overcast

64.8°F

Feels Like: 64.8°F
Wind: 9.4 mph SW
Gusts: 17.7 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 64%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Virginia (Away)

This Week: 142.4 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 6271.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 6

Duke (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1046.9 miles
Season Total: 8840.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 7

What happened in the game?

Virginia travels 142 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Virginia won by 17 to secure a comfortable win.

Virginia covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 8.5 points.

How do Virginia and Duke compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Virginia (12.7) over Duke (8.9) by 3.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Duke faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Duke brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Virginia won and Virginia covered the spread.