Week 12
L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium

Clemson20 @FINAL 19Louisville , Week 12, Nov 15, 2025

4-5 ACC Power rating: 11.7
7-2 ACC Power rating: 17.1

How did the line hold up?

Market line
LOU -1.5
PM Implied
LOU -1.3
Blue Chip model
LOU -8.7
Edge
+7.2LOU
See details
◂ favors CLEMfavors LOU ▸Market: LOU -1.5
LOU
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LOU
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5 CLEM5 LOUModel: LOU -8.7

Betting information

Spread
LOU -1.5
Total
50.5
Odds implied score
CLEM 24.5 – 26.0 LOU
Prediction markets
LOU 56% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Clemson defeated Louisville 20–19 in a nail-biter. Clemson covered by 2.5; Game went Under by 11.5. The market closed at Louisville -1.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Louisville -8.7 - a gap of 7.2 points toward Louisville, of which 6.4 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Louisville 5.4 points stronger on a neutral field.

What were the weather conditions for Clemson vs Louisville?

At kickoff, conditions at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium were Overcast, 60°F with winds of 9 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Clemson travels 292 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Clemson won by 1 in a nail-biter.

Clemson covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 11.5 points.

How do Clemson and Louisville compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Louisville (17.1) over Clemson (11.7) by 5.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Louisville brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Clemson won and Clemson covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 15, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

60°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity88%
Wind9 mph SSW
Gusts18 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Clemson at Louisville: aerial view of L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium, wind from the SSW at 8.7 mph, gusting to 18.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
07:30 PM EST
Venue
L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
Capacity
60,800
Elevation
466 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure ClemsonAway LouisvilleHome
This week292 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total2,616 miles3,096 miles
Body clock19:3019:30
Rest6 days6 days