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Week 12 •
LaVell Edwards Stadium

TCU13 @FINAL 44BYU

6-3 Big 12 Power rating: 15.5
8-1 Big 12 Power rating: 21.5

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
BYU -3.0
PM Implied
BYU -2.5
Blue Chip model
BYU -10.2
Edge
+7.2BYU
See details
◂ favors TCUfavors BYU ▸Market: BYU -3.0
BYU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
BYU
no impact
BYU
BYU
no impact
5 TCU5 BYUModel: BYU -10.2

Betting information

Spread
BYU -3.0
Total
51.5
Odds implied score
TCU 24.3 – 27.3 BYU
Prediction markets
BYU 60% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

BYU defeated TCU 44–13 in a dominant performance. BYU covered by 28.0; Game went Over by 5.5. The market closed at BYU -3.0 and the Blue Chip model made it BYU -10.2 - a gap of 7.2 points toward BYU, of which 5.5 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for TCU vs BYU?

At kickoff, conditions at LaVell Edwards Stadium were Partly cloudy, 45°F, wind chill 41°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

TCU travels 949 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

TCU arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

BYU won by 31 in a dominant performance.

BYU covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 5.5 points.

How do TCU and BYU compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor BYU (21.5) over TCU (15.5) by 6.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. BYU brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on TCU and BYU?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

BYU won and BYU covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 16, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

45°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity55%
Wind4 mph E
Gusts7 mph
Wind chill41°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for TCU at BYU: aerial view of LaVell Edwards Stadium, wind from the E at 4.3 mph, gusting to 6.7 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
08:15 PM MST
Venue
LaVell Edwards Stadium
Capacity
62,073
Elevation
4,678 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

TCUAway BYUHome
This week949 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game1,419 miles
Season total7,842 miles8,876 miles
Body clock21:1520:15
Rest8 days8 days

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