Week 12 • November 16, 2025, 12:00 AM UTC
5-4
CUSA
Power Rank: -11.6
23 FINAL 26
1-8
CUSA
Power Rank: -18.4
Sam Houston covered by 6.5 | Game went Under by 1.5

Sam Houston defeated Delaware 26–23 in a nail-biter. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Delaware 6.8 points stronger on a neutral field.

General Information

Week: Week 12
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:00 PM CST
Stadium: BBVA Compass Stadium
Capacity: 20,656
Elevation: 56 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Delaware -3.5
Total (O/U) 50.5
Expected Score DEL 27.0 - 23.5 SHSU
Power Rank Implied Line Delaware +6.8
Prediction Markets Delaware 79% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

39.4°F

Wind Chill: 37.1°F
Wind: 3.8 mph SSW
Gusts: 5.8 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 36%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Delaware (Away)

This Week: 1304.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 8281.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 8

Sam Houston (Home)

This Week: 67.2 miles
Last Week: 3565.3 miles
Season Total: 14911.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Delaware -3.5
Total Points 50.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Delaware -11.6
Sam Houston -18.4
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 1304 mi
Home Team Travel 67 mi
Rest Delaware +1
HFA: BBVA Compass Stadium
Capacity 20,656
Elevation 56 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 39.4°F
Wind Speed 3.8 mph
Your Line Sam Houston -6.8
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Delaware vs Sam Houston?

Delaware: Key Factors

Sam Houston: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Delaware travels 1,304 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Delaware arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Sam Houston won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Sam Houston covered the spread, covering the spread.

The total went Under by 1.5 points.

How do Delaware and Sam Houston compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Delaware (-11.6) over Sam Houston (-18.4) by 6.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Sam Houston faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Sam Houston brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Sam Houston won and Sam Houston covered the spread.