Sam Houston defeated Delaware 26–23 in a nail-biter. Sam Houston covered by 14.5; Game went Under by 7.5. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Delaware 6.8 points stronger on a neutral field.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at BBVA Compass Stadium were Clear, 65.8°F, Feels Like 65.8°F with winds of 7.8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
65.8°F
Landon Brown rushed for 109 yards and two touchdowns, including a 62-yard run, providing the offensive spark needed to secure the win.
The defense forced a missed field goal with 21 seconds left after a key sack by Dylan Frazier, preserving the 26-23 victory.
Christian Pavon kicked four field goals (33, 33, 48, 48 yards), accounting for 12 points and keeping the team competitive throughout the game.
Quarterback Landon Locke completed only 16 of 38 passes for 213 yards, indicating inconsistency that could be exploited by future opponents.
The win improves Sam Houston to 2-8 overall and 1-5 in conference play, providing a much-needed boost after a difficult season.
Delaware travels 1,304 miles to this game, a significant road trip.
Delaware arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.
Sam Houston won by 3 in a nail-biter.
Sam Houston covered the spread comfortably.
The total went Under by 7.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Delaware (-11.6) over Sam Houston (-18.4) by 6.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Sam Houston faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Sam Houston brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Sam Houston won and Sam Houston covered the spread.
