Notre Dame defeated Navy 49–10 in a dominant performance. Notre Dame covered by 8.5; Game went Over by 4.5.
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At kick-off, conditions at Notre Dame Stadium were Moderate or heavy sleet, 35.6°F, Wind Chill 29.3°F with winds of 9.2 mph. Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
35.6°F
Notre Dame scored 49 points, with QB C.J. Carr throwing for 218 yards and 3 TDs, and RB Jeremiyah Love rushing for 94 yards and 2 TDs, including a spectacular 48-yard run. The offense was efficient and explosive, even in snowy conditions.
After allowing 154 rushing yards in the first half to Navy's triple-option attack, Notre Dame's defense tightened up, limiting Navy to just 52 rushing yards in the second half. This adjustment was key to turning a close game into a blowout.
Coach Marcus Freeman publicly stated that RB Jeremiyah Love deserves Heisman consideration, highlighting his game-breaking ability. Love's highlight-reel touchdown run and consistent production make him a focal point of the offense.
QB C.J. Carr, a Michigan native, thrived in the rain and snow, completing 13 of 16 passes. His ability to handle poor weather and maintain accuracy is a positive sign for potential future games in similar conditions.
Notre Dame extended its winning streak to seven games and is ranked No. 10 in the first College Football Playoff rankings. The dominant win adds style points that could boost their playoff resume as they head into a road game at Pittsburgh.
Navy travels 546 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.
Notre Dame won by 39 in a dominant performance.
Notre Dame covered the spread by a solid margin.
The total went Over by 4.5 points.
Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.
Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Notre Dame (27.7) over Navy (2.4) by 25.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Notre Dame brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Notre Dame won and Notre Dame covered the spread.
