Week 11
Milan Puskar Stadium

Colorado22 @FINAL 29West Virginia , Week 11, Nov 8, 2025

3-6 Big 12 Power rating: 1.5
3-6 Big 12 Power rating: -0.8

How did the line hold up?

Market line
WVU -6.5
PM Implied
WVU -4.7
Blue Chip model
WVU -0.5
Edge
-6.0COLO
See details
◂ favors COLOfavors WVU ▸Market: WVU -6.5
COLO
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WVU
no impact
WVU
no impact
no impact
2 COLO2 WVU4 COLO4 WVU6 COLO6 WVUModel: WVU -0.5

Betting information

Spread
WVU -6.5
Total
51.5
Odds implied score
COLO 22.5 – 29.0 WVU
Prediction markets
WVU 68% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

West Virginia defeated Colorado 29–22 in a one-score game. West Virginia covered by 0.5; Game went Under by 0.5. The market closed at West Virginia -6.5 and the Blue Chip model made it West Virginia -0.5 - a gap of 6.0 points toward Colorado, of which 5.0 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Colorado vs West Virginia?

West Virginia

Injury-riddled backfield finds a hero

With multiple running backs injured, hybrid linebacker Curtis Jones Jr. stepped in and scored two short touchdowns on just three carries, proving to be a crucial weapon in the win.

Freshman QB shows promise but inconsistency

Scotty Fox Jr. threw for 202 yards and a touchdown, but his two consecutive interceptions in the third quarter allowed Colorado back into the game, highlighting his need for better decision-making.

Defense dominates with seven sacks

The Mountaineers sacked Colorado quarterback Ju Ju Lewis seven times, consistently disrupting the passing game and keeping the Buffaloes from taking the lead.

Special teams spark with blocked punt safety

Israel Boyce blocked a punt that went through the end zone for a safety, West Virginia's first since 2014, providing an early momentum boost.

Winning streak builds confidence for Arizona State

West Virginia has won two straight for the first time this season, improving to 4-6, and will look to carry that momentum into next week's road game at Arizona State.

What were the weather conditions for Colorado vs West Virginia?

At kickoff, conditions at Milan Puskar Stadium were Overcast, 55°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Colorado travels 1,342 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Colorado arrives with a 2-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

West Virginia won by 7 in a one-score game.

West Virginia covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 0.5 points.

How do Colorado and West Virginia compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Colorado (1.5) over West Virginia (-0.8) by 2.3 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, West Virginia faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. West Virginia brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

West Virginia won and West Virginia covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 8, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

55°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity66%
Wind5 mph WSW
Gusts7 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Colorado at West Virginia: aerial view of Milan Puskar Stadium, wind from the WSW at 4.7 mph, gusting to 6.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
12:00 PM EST
Venue
Milan Puskar Stadium
Capacity
60,000
Elevation
1,079 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure ColoradoAway West VirginiaHome
This week1,342 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game2,219 miles
Season total5,190 miles8,971 miles
Body clock10:0012:00
Rest7 days7 days