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Week 11 •
Hillsboro Stadium

Sacramento State52 @FINAL 24Portland State

5-4 Big Sky Power rating: -18.0
0-0 Big Sky Power rating: -26.8

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
SAC -20.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
SAC -6.3
Edge
+14.2PRST
See details
◂ favors SACfavors PRST ▸Market: SAC -20.5
SAC
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
PRST
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
5 SAC5 PRST10 SAC10 PRST15 SAC15 PRSTModel: SAC -6.3

Betting information

Spread
SAC -20.5
Total
59.5
Odds implied score
SAC 40.0 – 19.5 PRST

ESPN Bet · as of July 8, 2026

Sacramento State defeated Portland State 52–24 in a dominant performance. Sacramento State covered by 7.5; Game went Over by 16.5. The market closed at Sacramento State -20.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Sacramento State -6.3 - a gap of 14.2 points toward Portland State, of which 13.4 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Sacramento State vs Portland State?

At kickoff, conditions at Hillsboro Stadium were Partly cloudy, 46°F, wind chill 43°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Sacramento State travels 489 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Sacramento State won by 28 in a dominant performance.

Sacramento State covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 16.5 points.

How do Sacramento State and Portland State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Sacramento State (-18.0) over Portland State (-26.8) by 8.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Portland State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Portland State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Sacramento State and Portland State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Sacramento State won and Sacramento State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 8, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

46°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity72%
Wind3 mph NE
Gusts6 mph
Wind chill43°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Sacramento State at Portland State: aerial view of Hillsboro Stadium, wind from the NE at 3.1 mph, gusting to 6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
02:00 PM PST
Venue
Hillsboro Stadium
Capacity
7,600
Elevation
223 ft
Surface
Unknown

Travel and rest

Sacramento StateAway Portland StateHome
This week489 miles0 miles
Last week1,293 milesBye week
Season total5,742 miles6,525 miles
Body clock14:0014:00
Rest7 days7 days

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