Week 11November 09, 2025, 02:00 AM UTC
28
6-3
Big Ten
Power Rank: 15.0
@
FINAL
21
3-5
Big Ten
Power Rank: 6.1

By · Last updated

Nebraska defeated UCLA 28–21 in a one-score game. Nebraska covered by 8.5; Game went Over by 3.5.

General Information

Week: Week 11
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:00 PM PST
Stadium: Rose Bowl
Capacity: 89,702
Elevation: 810 ft
HFA Rating: 2.2
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread UCLA -1.5
Total (O/U) 45.5
Odds Implied Score NEB 22.0 - 23.5 UCLA
Power Rank Implied Line Nebraska -8.9
Prediction Markets UCLA 51% Win Chance (Kalshi)
Nebraska @ UCLA Preview

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line UCLA -8.9
Implied value
Current line - edit to adjust
UCLA perspective
Power ratings - edit to adjust
Nebraska
UCLA
Home field: Rose Bowl
Weather: Clear
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for Nebraska vs UCLA?

At kick-off, conditions at Rose Bowl were Clear, 66.6°F, Feels Like 66.6°F with winds of 3.4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: November 09, 2025
Clear

Clear

66.6°F

Feels Like: 66.6°F
Wind: 3.4 mph NNE
Gusts: 6.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 42%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Nebraska (Away)

This Week: 1261.5 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 4385.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 20:00
Rest Days: 8

UCLA (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 11281.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 15

What are the key factors for Nebraska vs UCLA?

UCLA: Key Factors

Struggles Against the Run

UCLA's defense allowed Nebraska's Emmett Johnson to rush for 129 yards and a touchdown, plus 103 receiving yards and two more scores. Interim coach Tim Skipper admitted the game plan was to stop Johnson, but they failed, indicating a critical weakness against versatile running backs.

Slow Start and Missed Opportunities

UCLA fell behind 27-7 in the first half, with their only first-half score coming on a direct snap run. A missed field goal just before halftime further hindered their comeback, highlighting issues with early-game execution and special teams.

Nico Iamaleava's Resilience

Despite being hit repeatedly, quarterback Nico Iamaleava completed 17 of 25 passes for 191 yards and two touchdowns, and led the team in rushing with 86 yards. His toughness kept UCLA in the game, but the offense needed more support from the run game and defense.

Late Rally Falls Short

UCLA scored two touchdowns in the second half, including a 45-yard pass and a 9-yard score with under five minutes left, to cut the lead to 28-21. However, they couldn't complete the comeback, showing fight but an inability to overcome the early deficit.

Daunting Upcoming Schedule

After a bye week, UCLA faces No. 1 Ohio State on the road, followed by No. 24 Washington and No. 20 USC. With a 3-6 record, they need to drastically improve on both sides of the ball to compete against these ranked opponents.

What happened in the game?

Nebraska travels 1,262 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Nebraska arrives with a 2-hour body clock disadvantage.

Nebraska won by 7 in a one-score game.

Nebraska covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 3.5 points.

How do Nebraska and UCLA compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Nebraska (15.0) over UCLA (6.1) by 8.9 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, UCLA faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. UCLA brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Nebraska won and Nebraska covered the spread.