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Week 11 •
Jones AT&T Stadium

BYU7 @FINAL 29Texas Tech

8-0 Big 12 Power rating: 20.9
8-1 Big 12 Power rating: 22.6

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
TTU -13.5
PM Implied
TTU -7.7
Blue Chip model
TTU -3.3
Edge
-10.2BYU
See details
◂ favors BYUfavors TTU ▸Market: TTU -13.5
TTU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
TTU
BYU
no impact
no impact
BYU
5 BYU5 TTU10 BYU10 TTUModel: TTU -3.3

Betting information

Spread
TTU -13.5
Total
50.5
Odds implied score
BYU 18.5 – 32.0 TTU
Prediction markets
TTU 78% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Texas Tech defeated BYU 29–7 to secure a comfortable win. Texas Tech covered by 8.5; Game went Under by 14.5. The market closed at Texas Tech -13.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Texas Tech -3.3 - a gap of 10.2 points toward BYU, of which 8.7 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for BYU vs Texas Tech?

Texas Tech

Dominant Defense and Takeaways

Texas Tech's defense held previously undefeated BYU to a season-low 255 total yards and forced three turnovers (two fumbles, one interception). Linebacker Jacob Rodriguez had an interception and recovered a backward pass, continuing his FBS-leading forced fumble streak. This defensive performance lowered their points allowed average to 12.6 per game, ranking fifth nationally.

Stone Harrington's Record-Setting Kicking

Kicker Stone Harrington made a school-record five field goals (47, 39, 34, 29, 27 yards), accounting for 15 of Texas Tech's 29 points. His reliability in scoring off turnovers and stalled drives was crucial in building and maintaining the lead.

Balanced Offense with Key Contributions

Quarterback Behren Morton threw for 216 yards and a touchdown, while running back Cameron Dickey rushed for 121 yards and a score. The offense complemented the defense by controlling the clock and converting opportunities, though coach Joey McGuire noted there is room for improvement.

Historic Win and Playoff Positioning

This was Texas Tech's first top-10 matchup since 2008, and the win improves their record to 9-1 (6-1 Big 12). They are now in strong position for a potential Big 12 championship game appearance, with remaining opponents (UCF and West Virginia) combining for a 3-10 conference record.

Next Week: Home Finale vs. UCF

Texas Tech hosts UCF next Saturday, aiming for their first unbeaten home season since 1995. The Red Raiders will look to maintain their defensive dominance and continue their winning momentum against a struggling opponent.

What were the weather conditions for BYU vs Texas Tech?

At kickoff, conditions at Jones AT&T Stadium were Cloudy, 67°F with winds of 20 mph. Wind of 20 mph is enough to matter to the total: the market has historically taken about 1.7 points off the number in this band. It is worth re-checking closer to kickoff. Gusts reaching 22 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

BYU travels 710 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

BYU arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Texas Tech won by 22 to secure a comfortable win.

Texas Tech covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 14.5 points.

How do BYU and Texas Tech compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Texas Tech (22.6) over BYU (20.9) by 1.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Texas Tech brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on BYU and Texas Tech?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Texas Tech won and Texas Tech covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 8, 2025 Game-time

Cloudy

67°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity26%
Wind20 mph NE
Gusts22 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for BYU at Texas Tech: aerial view of Jones AT&T Stadium, wind from the NE at 19.5 mph, gusting to 22.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
11:00 AM CST
Venue
Jones AT&T Stadium
Capacity
60,229
Elevation
3,228 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

BYUAway Texas TechHome
This week710 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week972 miles
Season total8,166 miles4,546 miles
Body clock10:0011:00
Rest14 days7 days

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