Week 11 • November 06, 2025, 12:00 AM UTC
3-5
MAC
Power Rank: -24.2
13 FINAL 17
3-5
MAC
Power Rank: -16.3
Ball State covered by 1.5 | Game went Under by 16.5

Ball State defeated Kent State 17–13 in a closely contested finish.

Kent State @ Ball State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 11
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:00 PM EST
Stadium: Scheumann Stadium
Capacity: 16,319
Elevation: 951 ft
HFA Rating: 2.8
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Ball State -2.5
Total (O/U) 46.5
Expected Score KENT 22.0 - 24.5 BALL
Power Rank Implied Line Ball State +7.9
Prediction Markets Ball State 59% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Overcast

Overcast

15.2°F

Wind Chill: 2.5°F
Wind: 10.7 mph SW
Gusts: 19.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.02"
Humidity: 95%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Kent State (Away)

This Week: 224.7 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 7185.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 12

Ball State (Home)

This Week: 0.1 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 3395.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 12

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Ball State -2.5
Total Points 46.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Kent State -24.2
Ball State -16.3
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 225 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Scheumann Stadium
Capacity 16,319
Elevation 951 ft
Weather: Overcast
Temperature 15.2°F
Wind Speed 10.7 mph
Your Line Ball State +7.9
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Kent State vs Ball State?

Kent State: Key Factors

Ball State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Kent State travels 225 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Ball State won by 4 in a closely contested finish.

Ball State covered the spread, covering narrowly.

The total went Under by 16.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Scheumann Stadium?

At 15.2°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 60%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Kent State and Ball State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Ball State (-16.3) over Kent State (-24.2) by 7.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Ball State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Ball State won and Ball State covered the spread.