Ball State defeated Kent State 17–13 in a closely contested finish. Ball State covered by 1.0; Game went Under by 18.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Scheumann Stadium were Clear, 40.3°F, Wind Chill 36.3°F with winds of 3.8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
40.3°F
Kent State travels 225 miles to this game, a short road trip.
Ball State won by 4 in a closely contested finish.
Ball State covered the spread narrowly.
The total went Under by 18.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Ball State (-16.3) over Kent State (-24.2) by 7.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Ball State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Ball State won and Ball State covered the spread.
