14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 11 • November 08, 2025, 08:30 PM UTC
Oregon @ Iowa
7-1
Big Ten
Power Rank: 26.7
18 FINAL 16
6-2
Big Ten
Power Rank: 21.6
Iowa covered by 3.5 | Game went Under by 9.5

By · Last updated

Oregon defeated Iowa 18–16 in a nail-biter.

Oregon @ Iowa Preview

General Information

Week: Week 11
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:30 PM CST
Stadium: Kinnick Stadium
Capacity: 69,250
Elevation: 722 ft
HFA Rating: 2.7
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Oregon -5.5
Total (O/U) 43.5
Expected Score ORE 24.5 - 19.0 IOWA
Power Rank Implied Line Oregon +5.1
Prediction Markets Oregon 68% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

18.9°F

Wind Chill: 7.6°F
Wind: 9.8 mph NNW
Gusts: 15.4 mph
Precipitation: 0.01"
Humidity: 86%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Oregon (Away)

This Week: 1599.2 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 15187.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:30
Rest Days: 14

Iowa (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 2851.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 14

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Oregon -5.5
Total Points 43.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Oregon 26.7
Iowa 21.6
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 1599 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Kinnick Stadium
Capacity 69,250
Elevation 722 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 18.9°F
Wind Speed 9.8 mph
Your Line Iowa -5.1
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Oregon vs Iowa?

Oregon: Key Factors

Iowa: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Oregon travels 1,599 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

Oregon arrives with a 2-hour body clock disadvantage.

Oregon won by 2 in a nail-biter.

Iowa covered the spread, covering the spread.

The total went Under by 9.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Kinnick Stadium?

At 18.9°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 80%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Oregon and Iowa compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Oregon (26.7) over Iowa (21.6) by 5.1 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Iowa faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Iowa brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Oregon and Iowa?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Oregon won and Iowa covered the spread.