Week 11November 08, 2025, 08:00 PM UTC
30
5-3
CUSA
Power Rank: -6.7
@
FINAL
27
2-6
CUSA
Power Rank: -12.1

By · Last updated

Jacksonville State defeated UTEP 30–27 in a nail-biter. Jacksonville State covered by 1.5; Game went Over by 10.5.

General Information

Week: Week 11
Kick Off (at stadium): 01:00 PM MST
Stadium: Sun Bowl
Capacity: 51,500
Elevation: 3904 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread Jacksonville State -1.5
Total (O/U) 46.5
Odds Implied Score JXST 24.0 - 22.5 UTEP
Power Rank Implied Line Jacksonville State -5.4
Prediction Markets Jacksonville State 51% UTEP 51% Win Chance (Kalshi)
Jacksonville State @ UTEP Preview

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line UTEP -5.4
Implied value
Current line - edit to adjust
UTEP perspective
Power ratings - edit to adjust
Jacksonville State
UTEP
Home field: Sun Bowl
Weather: Clear
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for Jacksonville State vs UTEP?

At kick-off, conditions at Sun Bowl were Clear, 69.1°F, Feels Like 69.1°F with winds of 9.2 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: November 08, 2025
Clear

Clear

69.1°F

Feels Like: 69.1°F
Wind: 9.2 mph W
Gusts: 17.0 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 26%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Jacksonville State (Away)

This Week: 1213.4 miles
Last Week: 288.2 miles
Season Total: 4700.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:00
Rest Days: 10

UTEP (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 2564.9 miles
Season Total: 6477.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 13:00
Rest Days: 10

What are the key factors for Jacksonville State vs UTEP?

Jacksonville State: Key Factors

Dominant rushing attack

Caden Creel and Cam Cook combined for 259 rushing yards, with Creel adding 134 yards on 13 carries and Cook 127 yards on 19 carries and a touchdown. This ground game was crucial in controlling the clock and setting up the game-winning field goal.

Clutch performance in crunch time

Creel's 31-yard scramble on a 46-yard drive set up Garrison Rippa's 45-yard game-winning field goal with 53 seconds left, showing the team's ability to execute under pressure.

Defensive playmaking

Caleb Nix returned an interception 93 yards for a touchdown in the second quarter, highlighting the defense's ability to create game-changing plays.

Passing game efficiency

Creel completed 15 of 31 passes for 181 yards and a touchdown, including a 77-yard strike to Deondre Johnson on the opening drive, showing the offense's big-play potential.

Conference dominance continues

The win improved Jacksonville State to 5-0 in Conference USA play, demonstrating their strong position in the conference standings and momentum heading into future games.

What happened in the game?

Jacksonville State travels 1,213 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Jacksonville State arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Jacksonville State won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Jacksonville State covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Over by 10.5 points.

How do Jacksonville State and UTEP compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Jacksonville State (-6.7) over UTEP (-12.1) by 5.4 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, UTEP faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. UTEP brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Jacksonville State won and Jacksonville State covered the spread.