Week 11 • November 08, 2025, 08:00 PM UTC
5-3
CUSA
Power Rank: -6.7
30 FINAL 27
2-6
CUSA
Power Rank: -12.1
Jacksonville State covered by 4.5 | Game went Over by 2.5

Jacksonville State defeated UTEP 30–27 in a nail-biter.

Jacksonville State @ UTEP Preview

General Information

Week: Week 11
Kick Off (at stadium): 01:00 PM MST
Stadium: Sun Bowl
Capacity: 51,500
Elevation: 3904 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread UTEP -1.5
Total (O/U) 54.5
Expected Score JXST 26.5 - 28.0 UTEP
Power Rank Implied Line Jacksonville State +5.4
Prediction Markets Jacksonville State 51% UTEP 51% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

53.5°F

Wind Chill: 53.9°F
Wind: 2.7 mph ESE
Gusts: 4.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 35%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Jacksonville State (Away)

This Week: 1213.4 miles
Last Week: 288.2 miles
Season Total: 4700.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:00
Rest Days: 10

UTEP (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 2564.9 miles
Season Total: 10082.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 13:00
Rest Days: 10

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line UTEP -1.5
Total Points 54.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Jacksonville State -6.7
UTEP -12.1
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 1213 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Sun Bowl
Capacity 51,500
Elevation 3904 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 53.5°F
Wind Speed 2.7 mph
Your Line UTEP -5.4
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Jacksonville State vs UTEP?

Jacksonville State: Key Factors

UTEP: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Jacksonville State travels 1,213 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Jacksonville State arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Jacksonville State won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Jacksonville State covered the spread, covering the spread.

The total went Over by 2.5 points.

How do Jacksonville State and UTEP compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Jacksonville State (-6.7) over UTEP (-12.1) by 5.4 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, UTEP faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. UTEP brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Jacksonville State won and Jacksonville State covered the spread.