Week 11 • November 08, 2025, 05:00 PM UTC
9-0
Big Ten
Power Rank: 32.1
27 FINAL 24
3-5
Big Ten
Power Rank: 16.9
Penn State covered by 16.5 | Game went Over by 1.5

Indiana defeated Penn State 27–24 in a nail-biter.

Indiana @ Penn State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 11
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:00 PM EST
Stadium: Beaver Stadium
Capacity: 106,572
Elevation: 1178 ft
HFA Rating: 2.6
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Indiana -19.5
Total (O/U) 49.5
Expected Score IU 34.5 - 15.0 PSU
Power Rank Implied Line Indiana +15.2
Prediction Markets Indiana 86% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Cloudy

Cloudy

20.1°F

Wind Chill: 11.7°F
Wind: 6.7 mph SW
Gusts: 10.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 88%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Indiana (Away)

This Week: 473.4 miles
Last Week: 1029.7 miles
Season Total: 5945.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

Penn State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 556.0 miles
Season Total: 6828.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Indiana -19.5
Total Points 49.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Indiana 32.1
Penn State 16.9
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 473 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Beaver Stadium
Capacity 106,572
Elevation 1178 ft
Weather: Cloudy
Temperature 20.1°F
Wind Speed 6.7 mph
Your Line Penn State -15.2
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Indiana vs Penn State?

Indiana: Key Factors

Penn State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Indiana travels 473 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Indiana won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Penn State covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 1.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Beaver Stadium?

At 20.1°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Indiana and Penn State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Indiana (32.1) over Penn State (16.9) by 15.2 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Penn State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Penn State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.6). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Indiana won and Penn State covered the spread.