Indiana defeated Penn State 27–24 in a nail-biter. Penn State covered by 11.5; Game went Over by 1.5.
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At kick-off, conditions at Beaver Stadium were Cloudy, 51.3°F, Wind Chill 51.3°F with winds of 2.9 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
51.3°F
Penn State lost 27-24 to No. 2 Indiana, extending their losing streak to six games. The team is playing under interim coach Terry Smith after the head coach was fired, and they have lost starting quarterback and defensive captain to season-ending injuries.
The Nittany Lions' offense, coordinated by Andy Kotelnicki, was stagnant for most of the game, trailing 17-7 at halftime. They only found rhythm in the fourth quarter, scoring 17 points, including a go-ahead touchdown pass from Ethan Grunkemeyer to Nicholas Singleton with 6:27 left.
Despite forcing a punt with 1:51 remaining, the defense allowed Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza to lead a game-winning drive, including a 29-yard completion and the final 17-yard touchdown pass to Omar Cooper Jr. with 36 seconds left.
After starting the season ranked No. 2, Penn State is now 3-6 and must win their remaining three games (including next at Michigan State) to become bowl eligible. The team's morale is low, as noted by interim coach Smith calling the situation 'very humbling.'
Running back Kaytron Allen passed Evan Royster for most career carries in Penn State history, now with 697 carries for 3,613 yards. This milestone highlights individual achievement amid team struggles.
Indiana travels 473 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.
Indiana won by 3 in a nail-biter.
Penn State covered the spread by a solid margin.
The total went Over by 1.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Indiana (32.1) over Penn State (16.9) by 15.2 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Penn State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Penn State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.6). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Indiana won and Penn State covered the spread.
