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Week 11 •
CEFCU Stadium

Air Force26 @FINAL 16San José State

2-6 MW Power rating: -5.9
3-5 MW Power rating: -3.7

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
SJSU -6.0
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
SJSU -4.6
Edge
-1.4AF
See details
◂ favors AFfavors SJSU ▸Market: SJSU -6.0
SJSU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
SJSU
no impact
SJSU
no impact
no impact
1 AF1 SJSU2 AF2 SJSUModel: SJSU -4.6

Betting information

Spread
SJSU -6.0
Total
67.5
Odds implied score
AF 30.8 – 36.8 SJSU

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Air Force defeated San José State 26–16 in a double-digit victory. Air Force covered by 16.0; Game went Under by 25.5. The market closed at San José State -6.0 and the Blue Chip model made it San José State -4.6, an edge of 1.4 points toward Air Force.

What were the weather conditions for Air Force vs San José State?

At kickoff, conditions at CEFCU Stadium were Mist, 61°F with winds of 1 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Air Force travels 933 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Air Force arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Air Force won by 10 in a double-digit victory.

Air Force covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 25.5 points.

How do Air Force and San José State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor San José State (-3.7) over Air Force (-5.9) by 2.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. San José State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Air Force and San José State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Air Force won and Air Force covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 8, 2025 Game-time

Mist

61°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity96%
Wind1 mph ESE
Gusts2 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Air Force at San José State: aerial view of CEFCU Stadium, wind from the ESE at 0.9 mph, gusting to 1.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
03:00 PM PST
Venue
CEFCU Stadium
Capacity
18,203
Elevation
105 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Air ForceAway San José StateHome
This week933 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total6,002 miles6,031 miles
Body clock16:0015:00
Rest7 days6 days

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