DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
Toledo defeated Northern Illinois 42–3 in a dominant performance. Toledo covered by 24.5; Game went Over by 2.5. The market closed at Toledo -14.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Toledo -18.0 - a gap of 3.5 points toward Toledo, of which 2.8 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.
NIU managed only 141 passing yards and 62 rushing yards, with a completion rate of 11-of-29 and no touchdowns, highlighting a severe lack of offensive production.
The defense allowed 42 points, including a 96-yard kick return touchdown and 309 passing yards, indicating significant issues in both special teams and pass coverage.
The team's longest gain was a 69-yard reception by Rickey Taylor Jr., but overall they failed to generate consistent big plays, with only 3 points scored from a field goal.
NIU did not commit any turnovers, but their inability to force turnovers or capitalize on Toledo's mistakes meant they could not shift momentum.
With 36 carries for just 62 yards (1.7 yards per carry), the ground game was completely stifled, putting additional pressure on the passing game.
At kickoff, conditions at Glass Bowl were Clear, 41°F, wind chill 36°F with winds of 8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Clear
41°F
| Measure | Northern IllinoisAway | ToledoHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 267 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Bye week | Bye week |
| Season total | 4,065 miles | 4,150 miles |
| Body clock | 18:00 | 19:00 |
| Rest | 12 days | 12 days |
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