Toledo defeated Northern Illinois 42–3 in a dominant performance. Toledo covered by 24.5; Game went Over by 2.5.
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At kick-off, conditions at Glass Bowl were Clear, 41.4°F, Wind Chill 35.6°F with winds of 7.6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
41.4°F
NIU managed only 141 passing yards and 62 rushing yards, with a completion rate of 11-of-29 and no touchdowns, highlighting a severe lack of offensive production.
The defense allowed 42 points, including a 96-yard kick return touchdown and 309 passing yards, indicating significant issues in both special teams and pass coverage.
The team's longest gain was a 69-yard reception by Rickey Taylor Jr., but overall they failed to generate consistent big plays, with only 3 points scored from a field goal.
NIU did not commit any turnovers, but their inability to force turnovers or capitalize on Toledo's mistakes meant they could not shift momentum.
With 36 carries for just 62 yards (1.7 yards per carry), the ground game was completely stifled, putting additional pressure on the passing game.
Northern Illinois travels 267 miles to this game, a short road trip.
Northern Illinois arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.
Toledo won by 39 in a dominant performance.
Toledo covered the spread comfortably.
The total went Over by 2.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Toledo (2.9) over Northern Illinois (-12.2) by 15.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Toledo brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.6). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Toledo won and Toledo covered the spread.
