Wyoming Cowboys

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Wyoming Cowboys is 5-3 on the season, 4-4 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -12.7. Wyoming Cowboys holds a power rating of -12.7, placing them in the weaker tier of the FBS and typically entering games as a significant underdog. The Wyoming Cowboys head to UNLV next in Week 10.

Conference: Mountain West Conference
Stadium: War Memorial Stadium, Laramie, WY
Power Rating (most current): -12.7
HFA Rating:3.3 pts
2026 Win Total:5.5
2026 Record: 5-3
2026 ATS: 4-4
2026 O/U: 2-6

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 8 of 2026 the Wyoming Cowboys Power Rating of -12.7 is 12.7 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Wyoming Cowboys have logged 5,250 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 7,833 miles, ranking 58th heaviest in the FBS.

Wyoming Cowboys Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachJay Sawvel
Tenure2 seasons
Record7-17
Offensive coordinatorChristian Taylor
Defensive coordinatorAaron Bohl

Offense

Tyler Hughes QB, Samuel Harris RB, Markell Holman RB, Deion DeBlanc WR, Eric Richardson WR, Jackson Holman WR, Jake Wilson TE, Kyle Frendt TE, Jason Maciejczak OL

Defense

Ethan Stuhlsatz LB, Gary Rutherford LB, Anthony Beavers LB, Jones Thomas S, Desman Hearns CB, Dante Drake DL, Jayden Williams DL

Special teams

Bart Edmiston P, Erik Sandvik K

2025 Season in Review

Record4-8 ATS5-7 O/U2-10
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-01-00-1
Week 22-02-00-2
Week 32-12-10-3
Week 42-22-21-3
Week 62-32-31-4
Week 73-33-32-4
Week 83-44-32-5
Week 94-45-32-6
Week 104-55-42-7
Week 124-65-52-8
Week 134-75-62-9
Week 144-85-72-10

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened -12.2 in the preseason and finished -12.7 after week 8, a move of -0.5 points. High -12.2 (the preseason), low -16.9 (week 6).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from -12.2 to -12.7.

PreW8

Wyoming Cowboys SP+ Profile

Offence+16.0124 of 138higher is better
Defence+25.060 of 138lower is better
Special teams-0.6130 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±2.3 pts
HFA measured+5.4 pts
HFA applied+3.3 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured home field advantage of +5.4 is regressed to +3.3 before it is applied, a difference of 2.1 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Colorado State108-27-3
Northern Colorado11-00-1
Central Michigan11-01-0
Hawai'i74-33-4
San José State62-42-4
Northern Illinois22-01-0-1
Air Force95-47-2
UNLV52-32-3
New Mexico96-34-5
UConn11-00-1

No meeting on record since 2016: North Dakota State, UTEP.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home39-2034-23-2 ATS · 59 games
On the road19-3724-31-1 ATS · 56 games
Neutral site4-24-1-1 ATS · 6 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

7,833 miles - ranked 58th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 7,833 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 07,833 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1Colorado State57 mi114 mi
Week 2Northern ColoradoHome114 mi
Week 3Central Michigan1,072 mi2,258 mi
Week 4Hawai'iHome2,258 mi
Week 5North Dakota State582 mi3,421 mi
Week 6San José State914 mi5,250 mi
Week 7Northern IllinoisHome5,250 mi
Week 8Air ForceHome5,250 mi
Week 9-Bye
Week 10UNLV632 mi6,513 mi
Week 11UTEP660 mi7,833 mi
Week 12New MexicoHome7,833 mi
Week 13UConnHome7,833 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Wyoming Cowboys Season Outlook

Defense carries the load through a difficult start

Wyoming's defense has been the reliable unit all season, keeping the Cowboys in games even as the offense sputtered. After allowing 35 points and five passing touchdowns to Colorado State in the opener, the unit tightened up significantly. Over the next three games, they allowed just 13 points to Northern Colorado, 10 to Hawai'i, and 13 to San Jose State. The strength up the middle has been evident: linebacker Ethan Stuhlsatz racked up 11 tackles against Northern Colorado, safety Jones Thomas intercepted two passes in that same game, and the return of defensive tackle Dante Drake from an Achilles injury has bolstered the line. The Cowboys have forced timely turnovers and held opponents to low point totals, but the defense has also shown vulnerability against mobile quarterbacks, as Central Michigan's Angel Flores ran for 163 yards and two scores in Week 3. Overall, the defense has been the identity of the team, and its performance will be key to any second-half surge.

Tyler Hughes emerges as a dual-threat catalyst

Quarterback Tyler Hughes, a transfer from William & Mary, has been the focal point of the offense, and his legs have become his most dangerous weapon. In the Week 7 win over Northern Illinois, Hughes compiled 379 yards of total offense and scored four rushing touchdowns, including a 53-yard scamper. He ran for a career-high 183 yards on just 12 carries while completing 16 of 19 passes for 196 yards. That performance followed a gritty outing at San Jose State where he carried 27 times for 92 yards and threw a game-tying touchdown to tight end Jake Wilson in the fourth quarter. Hughes has shown the ability to extend plays and move the chains, but his passing has been inconsistent, and the offense has leaned heavily on him. The reunion with offensive coordinator Christian Taylor was expected to spark the offense, and while it has been uneven, Hughes's dual-threat ability gives Wyoming a chance every week.

Offensive inconsistency and slow starts plague the Cowboys

Despite Hughes's heroics, the Wyoming offense has been maddeningly inconsistent, particularly in the first half of games. The Cowboys were shut out 28-0 at North Dakota State, managed just 10 points at Central Michigan, and scored only 13 at Colorado State. In the opener, they went 0-for-8 on third downs. Even in wins, the offense has often started slowly: against Northern Colorado, they trailed 13-7 late before a lightning delay sparked a comeback; against San Jose State, they needed an 18-play, 75-yard drive in the fourth quarter to tie the game. The passing game has relied heavily on tight ends Kyle Frendt and Jake Wilson, with the young receiver group struggling to make an impact. The running back duo of Samuel Harris and Markell Holman has been effective at times, but the offense has yet to put together a complete four-quarter performance against a quality opponent. Fixing these slow starts is critical for the Cowboys to control games and take pressure off the defense.

Home-field advantage and situational spots offer hope

Wyoming has been a different team at home, where they are 3-0 this season (wins over Northern Colorado, Hawai'i, and Northern Illinois) compared to 1-3 on the road. The altitude and environment in Laramie have provided a significant edge, and the Cowboys have fed off that energy. The remaining schedule features several home games, including a crucial matchup with Air Force, where the home-field advantage could be a difference-maker. The Cowboys have also shown resilience, snapping an eight-game road losing streak with the overtime win at San Jose State. If Wyoming can continue to protect home turf and steal a road game or two, a bowl appearance remains within reach. The defense's reliability and Hughes's playmaking ability give them a chance in every game, but they must avoid the slow starts that have plagued them on the road.

Path to a bowl game hinges on consistency and health

At 4-3 overall and 3-1 in Mountain West play, Wyoming controls its destiny in the conference race. The Cowboys have already matched their win total from last season and are two wins away from bowl eligibility. However, the schedule ahead is challenging, with Air Force, a ranked opponent, coming to Laramie next. The offense must find more consistency, particularly in the passing game, to complement Hughes's running. The defense needs to continue its strong play and avoid the big plays that plagued them early. Health will also be key: the Cowboys have already dealt with injuries (Dante Drake's return was a boost), and depth is a concern at several positions. If Wyoming can maintain its home dominance, improve its road performances, and get a few breaks, a bowl game is a realistic goal. But the margin for error is thin, and the Cowboys must execute better in critical moments to reach the postseason.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Wyoming Cowboys's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Wyoming Cowboys is 4-4 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 50% of games.

What is Wyoming Cowboys's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Wyoming Cowboys holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -12.7, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Wyoming Cowboys's home field advantage rating?

Wyoming Cowboys's home field advantage rating is 3.3 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Wyoming Cowboys's 2026 win total?

Wyoming Cowboys's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 5.5 wins, priced at -115 over and -115 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Wyoming Cowboys travel in 2026?

Wyoming Cowboys travels 7,833 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 58th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Wyoming Cowboys: 5-3 overall, 4-4 ATS, power rating -12.7 (2026 records).