Week 10 •
CEFCU Stadium

Northern Illinois @ San José State , Week 10, Nov 7, 2026

0-4 MW Power rating: -20.6
3-2 MW Power rating: -11.6

Is there value in the Northern Illinois vs San José State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
SJSU -12.0
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors NIUfavors SJSU ▸
9.0 › SJSU
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1 NIU1 SJSU2 NIU2 SJSUModel: SJSU -12.0

San José State (power rating: -11.6) holds a 9.0-point advantage over Northern Illinois (-20.6) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. San José State's home field adds 2.1 points to that advantage at CEFCU Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges Northern Illinois's westward trip. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Northern Illinois vs San José State at CEFCU Stadium?

The latest reading for CEFCU Stadium shows Clear, 50°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Northern Illinois and San José State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor San José State (-11.6) over Northern Illinois (-20.6) by 9.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. San José State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this San José State -12.0. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

50°F

Rain10%
Precip0.00"
Humidity81%
Wind3 mph SSW
Gusts3 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Northern Illinois at San José State: aerial view of CEFCU Stadium, wind from the SSW at 3.1 mph, gusting to 3.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 10
Kickoff (local)
09:00 PM PST
Venue
CEFCU Stadium
Capacity
18,203
Elevation
105 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Northern IllinoisAway San José StateHome
This week1,782 miles0 miles
Last week2,941 milesHome game
Season total10,758 miles11,815 miles
Body clock23:0021:00
Rest6 days7 days

Northern Illinois travels 1,782 miles to this game, a cross-country trip. That is a westward shift of 2 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.