Week 5
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

San José State @ Hawai'i , Week 5, Oct 4, 2026

0-0 MW Power rating: -14.8
0-0 MW Power rating: -6.3

Is there value in the San José State vs Hawai'i line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
HAW -12.7
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors SJSUfavors HAW ▸
8.5 › HAW
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2 SJSU2 HAW4 SJSU4 HAWModel: HAW -12.7

Hawai'i (power rating: -6.3) holds a 8.5-point advantage over San José State (-14.8) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Hawai'i's home field adds 3.8 points to that advantage at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex. Beyond home field, the model charges San José State's bye week and San José State's westward trip, with a slighter reading for the warm conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect San José State vs Hawai'i at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex?

The latest reading for Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex shows Patchy rain nearby, 79°F with winds of 11 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do San José State and Hawai'i compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Hawai'i (-6.3) over San José State (-14.8) by 8.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Hawai'i brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Hawai'i -12.7. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 22, 2026 Preliminary

Patchy rain nearby

79°F

Rain16%
Precip0.00"
Humidity82%
Wind11 mph ENE
Gusts15 mph
Wind map for San José State at Hawai'i: aerial view of Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, wind from the ENE at 11 mph, gusting to 14.7 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 5
Kickoff (local)
05:59 PM HST
Venue
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Capacity
16,909
Elevation
75 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure San José StateAway Hawai'iHome
This week2,414 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week6,650 miles
Season total7,113 miles11,453 miles
Body clock20:5917:59
Rest14 days8 days

San José State travels 2,414 miles to this game, a cross-country trip. That is a westward shift of 3 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.