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Week 13 •
CEFCU Stadium

North Dakota State @ San José State

1-0 MW Power rating: -12.8
0-1 MW Power rating: -14.8

By · Last updated

Is there value in the North Dakota State vs San José State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
SJSU -1.0
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors ND Stfavors SJSU ▸
ND St
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
SJSU
no impact
SJSU
no impact
no impact
1 ND St1 SJSU2 ND St2 SJSUModel: SJSU -1.0

North Dakota State (power rating: -12.8) carries a 2.0-point advantage over San José State (-14.8) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. San José State's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1) narrows that gap at CEFCU Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges North Dakota State's westward trip. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect North Dakota State vs San José State at CEFCU Stadium?

The latest reading for CEFCU Stadium shows Cloudy, 60°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do North Dakota State and San José State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor North Dakota State (-12.8) over San José State (-14.8) by 2.0 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, San José State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. San José State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on North Dakota State and San José State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this San José State -1.0. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Cloudy

60°F

Rain11%
Precip0.00"
Humidity62%
Wind5 mph NW
Gusts7 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for North Dakota State at San José State: aerial view of CEFCU Stadium, wind from the NW at 4.7 mph, gusting to 7.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 13
Kickoff (local)
12:30 PM PST
Venue
CEFCU Stadium
Capacity
18,203
Elevation
105 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

North Dakota StateAway San José StateHome
This week1,439 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total17,489 miles13,681 miles
Body clock14:3012:30
Rest6 days5 days

North Dakota State travels 1,439 miles to this game, a significant road trip. That is a westward shift of 2 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.

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