7
Final
77
0
Final
73
13
Final
59
3
Final
59
21
Final
28
38
Final
21
0
Final
55
10
Final
17
27
Final
9
20
Final
48
21
Final
44
27
Final
24
3
Final
35
15
Final
36
28
Final
24
38
Final
36
31
Final
39
7
Final
34
3
Final
87
23
Final
24
20
Final
70
7
Final
52
7
Final
45
10
Final
13
17
Final
41
10
Final
45
7
Final
35
38
Final
13
31
Final
26
14
Final
16
17
Final
28
21
Final
18
20
Final
26
7
Final
12
21
Final
52
10
Final
37
31
Final
27
45
Final
17
0
Final
52
38
Final
14
10
Final
63
6
Final
44
17
Final
34
13
Final
21
10
Final
56
7
Final
70
26
Final
35
3
Final
52
20
Final
33
27
Final
29
20
Final
38
14
Final
49
24
Final
58
23
Final
17
6
Final
77
45
Final
24
7
Final
52
24
Final
28
31
Final
17
26
Final
28
7
Final
56
28
Final
24
9
Final
45
10
Final
62
14
Final
48
9
Final
36
10
Final
28
13
Final
16
7
Final
45
30
Final
38
14
Final
45
23
Final
24
35
Final
24
7
Final
22
9
Final
41
8
Final
43
7
Final
63
3
Final
44
10
Final
51
20
Final
30
38
Final
32
10
Final
43
3
Final
49
20
Final
7
30
Final
49
19
Final
29
North Dakota State Bison is 3-0 on the season, 2-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -2.2. North Dakota State Bison enters the season with a power rating of -2.2, placing them below average relative to the FBS midpoint. The North Dakota State Bison head to Sacramento State next in Week 3. In 2025, North Dakota State Bison went 12-1 overall, 5-5 against the spread, and 7-3 on totals.
In Week 2 of 2026 the North Dakota State Bison Power Rating of -2.2 is 2.2 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. North Dakota State Bison have logged 1,361 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 18,929 miles, ranking 4th heaviest in the FBS.
Nathan Hayes QB, Kene Anene OL, DJ Scott RB, Myles Mitchell RB, Braylon Toliver RB, Reis Kessel TE, Jackson Williams WR
Donovan Woolen LB, Gavin Sell LB, Darius Givance S, Taylen Eady S, Keenan Wilson DL
Drew Klein K, Aaron Bickerton P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Week 2 | 2-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Week 3 | 3-0 | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Week 5 | 4-0 | 2-1 | 3-0 |
| Week 6 | 5-0 | 2-1 | 3-0 |
| Week 7 | 6-0 | 3-1 | 4-0 |
| Week 8 | 7-0 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Week 9 | 8-0 | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Week 10 | 9-0 | 4-3 | 5-2 |
| Week 11 | 10-0 | 4-4 | 5-3 |
| Week 12 | 11-0 | 4-5 | 6-3 |
| Week 13 | 12-0 | 5-5 | 7-3 |
| Week 15 | 12-1 | 5-5 | 7-3 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened -12.8 in the preseason and finished -2.2 after week 2, a move of +10.6 points. High -2.2 (week 2), low -12.8 (the preseason).
PreW2
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.0 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.
Week 018,929 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | Jacksonville State | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 1 | Fordham | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Air Force | 680 mi | 1,361 mi |
| Week 3 | Sacramento State | 1,371 mi | 4,104 mi |
| Week 4 | - | Bye | |
| Week 5 | Wyoming | Home | 4,104 mi |
| Week 6 | UNLV | 1,206 mi | 6,515 mi |
| Week 7 | Nevada | Home | 6,515 mi |
| Week 8 | New Mexico | 963 mi | 8,442 mi |
| Week 9 | UTEP | Home | 8,442 mi |
| Week 10 | - | Bye | |
| Week 11 | Hawai'i | 3,804 mi | 16,050 mi |
| Week 12 | Northern Illinois | Home | 16,050 mi |
| Week 13 | San José State | 1,439 mi | 18,929 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
North Dakota State has opened its first FBS season with two convincing home wins, beating Jacksonville State 33-7 and shutting out Fordham 38-0. The Bison have shown they can handle the step up in competition, with the defense allowing just 170 and 135 total yards in the two games. Quarterback Nathan Hayes has been efficient, completing 14 of 22 passes for 160 yards against Jacksonville State and 18 of 22 for 210 yards against Fordham, with two touchdown passes in each game. The offense has been balanced, and the team has not trailed since the first quarter of the opener.
The offensive line, which returned three starters and added Kansas transfer Kene Anene at right tackle, has been the team's biggest strength. They have controlled the line of scrimmage in both games, paving the way for DJ Scott to rush for 60 yards and two touchdowns against Fordham and for the offense to total 373 yards in that game. The line's dominance has allowed the Bison to dictate tempo and keep the defense fresh, a critical factor as they face tougher Mountain West opponents later in the season.
The defense was expected to be a concern, especially at cornerback after both starters transferred, but the unit has been outstanding. They held Jacksonville State to 2 of 10 on third downs and forced three interceptions against Fordham, including a 37-yard pick-six by Marion Moore. The front seven, led by all-conference defensive tackle Keenan Wilson and linebacker Donovan Woolen, has generated consistent pressure, which has masked the inexperience in the secondary. The Bison have yet to allow a touchdown in the second half of either game.
Kicker Drew Klein has been reliable, making field goals from 34, 44, and 42 yards in the opener, and the special teams unit contributed a touchdown when Blake Schiltz recovered an errant snap in the end zone against Jacksonville State. The Bison have also won the turnover battle, with the defense forcing four turnovers in two games while the offense has committed just one interception. This opportunistic play has helped turn close games into comfortable wins and will be crucial in tighter conference matchups.
After two home games in the friendly confines of the Fargodome, North Dakota State hits the road for the first time as an FBS team, traveling to Air Force. The Bison are slight favorites, but this will be their first true test against a service academy with a unique option offense and a disciplined defense. The game will show whether the offensive line can dominate away from home and whether the young secondary can hold up against a more creative passing attack. A win would solidify their status as a contender in the Mountain West, while a loss would raise questions about their ability to win on the road in their new conference.
North Dakota State Bison is 2-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 67% of games.
North Dakota State Bison holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -2.2, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
North Dakota State Bison's home field advantage rating is 2.5 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
North Dakota State Bison's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 9.5 wins, priced at +180 over and -240 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
North Dakota State Bison travels 18,929 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 4th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
North Dakota State Bison: 3-0 overall, 2-1 ATS, power rating -2.2 (2026 records).