Week 11
Falcon Stadium

San José State @ Air Force , Week 11, Nov 15, 2026

0-1 MW Power rating: -14.8
0-0 MW Power rating: -5.4

Is there value in the San José State vs Air Force line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
AF -13.1
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors SJSUfavors AF ▸
9.4 › AF
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1 SJSU1 AF2 SJSU2 AFModel: AF -13.1

Air Force (power rating: -5.4) holds a 9.4-point advantage over San José State (-14.8) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Air Force's home field adds 2.5 points to that advantage at Falcon Stadium. Beyond home field, the model charges the altitude at Falcon Stadium, with a slighter reading for San José State's trip. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect San José State vs Air Force at Falcon Stadium?

The latest reading for Falcon Stadium shows Patchy rain nearby, 63°F with winds of 8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do San José State and Air Force compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Air Force (-5.4) over San José State (-14.8) by 9.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Air Force brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Air Force -13.1. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Patchy rain nearby

63°F

Rain22%
Precip0.01"
Humidity71%
Wind8 mph NNW
Gusts11 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for San José State at Air Force: aerial view of Falcon Stadium, wind from the NNW at 7.6 mph, gusting to 11.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
05:00 PM MST
Venue
Falcon Stadium
Capacity
39,441
Elevation
6,657 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure San José StateAway Air ForceHome
This week933 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game3,267 miles
Season total12,748 miles6,939 miles
Body clock16:0017:00
Rest8 days7 days

San José State travels 933 miles to this game, a significant road trip. San José State arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.