Week 8 • October 18, 2025, 04:00 PM UTC
4-2
Big 12
Power Rank: 10.4
28 FINAL 31
5-1
Big 12
Power Rank: 6.8
Houston covered by 0.5 | Game went Over by 11.5

Houston defeated Arizona 31–28 in a nail-biter. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Arizona 3.6 points stronger on a neutral field.

Arizona @ Houston Preview

General Information

Week: Week 8
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:00 AM CDT
Stadium: TDECU Stadium
Capacity: 40,000
Elevation: 52 ft
HFA Rating: 2.2
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Houston -2.5
Total (O/U) 47.5
Expected Score ARIZ 22.5 - 25.0 HOU
Power Rank Implied Line Arizona +3.6
Prediction Markets Arizona 52% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Sunny

Sunny

55.5°F

Feels Like: 55.1°F
Wind: 4.5 mph WSW
Gusts: 5.6 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 34%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Arizona (Away)

This Week: 941.1 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 3475.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 09:00
Rest Days: 7

Houston (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 904.8 miles
Season Total: 4913.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Houston -2.5
Total Points 47.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Arizona 10.4
Houston 6.8
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 941 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: TDECU Stadium
Capacity 40,000
Elevation 52 ft
Weather: Sunny
Temperature 55.5°F
Wind Speed 4.5 mph
Your Line Houston -3.6
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Arizona vs Houston?

Arizona: Key Factors

Houston: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Arizona travels 941 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Arizona arrives with a 2-hour body clock disadvantage.

Houston won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Houston covered the spread, covering narrowly.

The total went Over by 11.5 points.

How do Arizona and Houston compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Arizona (10.4) over Houston (6.8) by 3.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Houston faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Houston brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Houston won and Houston covered the spread.