Week 8
AmFirst Stadium

Delaware25 @FINAL 38Jacksonville State , Week 8, Oct 15, 2025

3-2 CUSA Power rating: -12.6
3-3 CUSA Power rating: -9.4

How did the line hold up?

Market line
DEL -3.0
PM Implied
DEL -1.8
Blue Chip model
JXST -5.8
Edge
+8.8JXST
See details
◂ favors DELfavors JXST ▸Market: DEL -3.0
JXST
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5 DEL5 JXST10 DEL10 JXSTModel: JXST -5.8

Betting information

Spread
DEL -3.0
Total
55.5
Odds implied score
DEL 29.3 – 26.3 JXST
Prediction markets
DEL 58% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Jacksonville State defeated Delaware 38–25 in a double-digit victory. Jacksonville State covered by 16.0; Game went Over by 7.5. The market closed at Delaware -3.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Jacksonville State -5.8 - a gap of 8.8 points toward Jacksonville State, of which 7.4 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for Delaware vs Jacksonville State?

Jacksonville State

Dominant rushing attack

Cam Cook rushed for 117 yards and three touchdowns, leading a ground game that helped Jacksonville State build a 35-6 lead. The team's ability to control the clock and score on the ground will be a key factor in future games.

Strong home-field advantage

Jacksonville State has won nine straight games at AmFirst Stadium, showing they are a tough opponent at home. This trend could boost their confidence and performance in upcoming home contests.

Defensive playmaking

Caleb Nix returned a fumble 45 yards for a touchdown, highlighting a defense that can create turnovers and score. This ability to generate points from defense adds a dangerous element for opponents.

Efficient quarterback play

Caden Creel threw for 116 yards and a touchdown while also rushing for 57 yards, showing he can manage the game effectively. His dual-threat capability keeps defenses off balance.

Early scoring momentum

Jacksonville State scored the first 21 points of the game, setting the tone early. Their ability to start fast and build leads will be crucial in future matchups to put pressure on opponents.

What were the weather conditions for Delaware vs Jacksonville State?

At kickoff, conditions at AmFirst Stadium were Clear, 64°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Delaware travels 686 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Delaware arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Jacksonville State won by 13 in a double-digit victory.

Jacksonville State covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 7.5 points.

How do Delaware and Jacksonville State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Jacksonville State (-9.4) over Delaware (-12.6) by 3.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Jacksonville State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Jacksonville State won and Jacksonville State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 15, 2025 Game-time

Clear

64°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity60%
Wind4 mph NNE
Gusts8 mph
Wind map for Delaware at Jacksonville State: aerial view of AmFirst Stadium, wind from the NNE at 3.6 mph, gusting to 7.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 8
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM CDT
Venue
AmFirst Stadium
Capacity
22,500
Elevation
640 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure DelawareAway Jacksonville StateHome
This week686 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week1,259 miles
Season total5,802 miles3,199 miles
Body clock19:0018:00
Rest12 days5 days