14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 8 • October 14, 2025, 11:30 PM UTC
Arkansas State @ South Alabama
2-4
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -9.0
15 FINAL 14
1-5
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -11.6
Arkansas State covered by 7.5 | Game went Under by 31.5

By · Last updated

Arkansas State defeated South Alabama 15–14 in a nail-biter.

Arkansas State @ South Alabama Preview

General Information

Week: Week 8
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:30 PM CDT
Stadium: Hancock Whitney Stadium
Capacity: 25,450
Elevation: 197 ft
HFA Rating: 3.1
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread South Alabama -6.5
Total (O/U) 60.5
Expected Score ARST 27.0 - 33.5 USA
Power Rank Implied Line Arkansas State +2.6
Prediction Markets South Alabama 72% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

35.6°F

Wind Chill: 31.0°F
Wind: 5.4 mph W
Gusts: 11.2 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 61%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Arkansas State (Away)

This Week: 382.8 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 2852.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:30
Rest Days: 10

South Alabama (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 2995.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:30
Rest Days: 10

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line South Alabama -6.5
Total Points 60.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Arkansas State -9.0
South Alabama -11.6
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 383 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Hancock Whitney Stadium
Capacity 25,450
Elevation 197 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 35.6°F
Wind Speed 5.4 mph
Your Line South Alabama -2.6
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Arkansas State vs South Alabama?

Arkansas State: Key Factors

South Alabama: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Arkansas State travels 383 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Arkansas State won by 1 in a nail-biter.

Arkansas State covered the spread, covering by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 31.5 points.

How do Arkansas State and South Alabama compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Arkansas State (-9.0) over South Alabama (-11.6) by 2.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, South Alabama faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. South Alabama brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Arkansas State and South Alabama?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Arkansas State won and Arkansas State covered the spread.