Arkansas State defeated South Alabama 15–14 in a nail-biter. Arkansas State covered by 9.5; Game went Under by 28.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Hancock Whitney Stadium were Clear, 70.7°F, Feels Like 70.7°F with winds of 5.1 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
70.7°F
Arkansas State travels 383 miles to this game, a short road trip.
Arkansas State won by 1 in a nail-biter.
Arkansas State covered the spread by a solid margin.
The total went Under by 28.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Arkansas State (-9.0) over South Alabama (-11.6) by 2.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, South Alabama faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. South Alabama brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Arkansas State won and Arkansas State covered the spread.
