14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 6 • October 04, 2025, 07:30 PM UTC
Penn State @ UCLA
3-1
Big Ten
Power Rank: 14.0
37 FINAL 42
0-4
Big Ten
Power Rank: 4.7
UCLA covered by 29.5 | Game went Over by 28.5

By · Last updated

UCLA defeated Penn State 42–37 in a closely contested finish. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Penn State 9.3 points stronger on a neutral field.

Penn State @ UCLA Preview

General Information

Week: Week 6
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:30 PM PDT
Stadium: Rose Bowl
Capacity: 89,702
Elevation: 810 ft
HFA Rating: 2.2
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Penn State -24.5
Total (O/U) 50.5
Expected Score PSU 37.5 - 13.0 UCLA
Power Rank Implied Line Penn State +9.3
Prediction Markets Penn State 96% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

57.7°F

Feels Like: 57.3°F
Wind: 5.1 mph WSW
Gusts: 6.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 62%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Penn State (Away)

This Week: 2241.8 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 2600.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 7

UCLA (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 3476.2 miles
Season Total: 3930.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:30
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

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Betting Information
Current Line Penn State -24.5
Total Points 50.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Penn State 14.0
UCLA 4.7
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 2242 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Rose Bowl
Capacity 89,702
Elevation 810 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 57.7°F
Wind Speed 5.1 mph
Your Line UCLA -9.3
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Penn State vs UCLA?

Penn State: Key Factors

UCLA: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Penn State travels 2,242 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

Penn State arrives with a 3-hour body clock disadvantage.

UCLA won by 5 in a closely contested finish.

UCLA covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 28.5 points.

How do Penn State and UCLA compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Penn State (14.0) over UCLA (4.7) by 9.3 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, UCLA faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. UCLA brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Penn State and UCLA?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

UCLA won and UCLA covered the spread.