Week 6 • October 04, 2025, 11:00 PM UTC
1-4
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -10.6
24 FINAL 31
2-2
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -5.4
Troy covered by 4.5 | Game went Over by 7.5

Troy defeated South Alabama 31–24 in a one-score game.

South Alabama @ Troy Preview

General Information

Week: Week 6
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:00 PM CDT
Stadium: Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
Capacity: 61,831
Elevation: 548 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Troy -2.5
Total (O/U) 47.5
Expected Score USA 22.5 - 25.0 TROY
Power Rank Implied Line Troy +5.2
Prediction Markets South Alabama 52% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

29.9°F

Wind Chill: 23.9°F
Wind: 5.8 mph WSW
Gusts: 12.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 64%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

South Alabama (Away)

This Week: 152.8 miles
Last Week: 1108.3 miles
Season Total: 2842.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 7

Troy (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 3484.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 14

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Troy -2.5
Total Points 47.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
South Alabama -10.6
Troy -5.4
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 153 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Troy +7
HFA: Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
Capacity 61,831
Elevation 548 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 29.9°F
Wind Speed 5.8 mph
Your Line Troy +5.2
Implied Value

What are the key factors for South Alabama vs Troy?

South Alabama: Key Factors

Troy: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

South Alabama travels 153 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Troy won by 7 in a one-score game.

Troy covered the spread, covering the spread.

The total went Over by 7.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)?

At 29.9°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do South Alabama and Troy compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Troy (-5.4) over South Alabama (-10.6) by 5.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Troy brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Troy won and Troy covered the spread.