DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
Troy defeated South Alabama 31–24 in a one-score game. Troy covered by 9.5; Game went Over by 8.5. The market closed at South Alabama -2.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Troy -7.5 - a gap of 10.0 points toward Troy, of which 8.8 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.
South Alabama tied the game 24-24 with 1:54 left on a Bishop Davenport touchdown pass to Kentrel Bullock, but failed to score in overtime, losing on an incomplete pass on fourth-and-5.
Bishop Davenport completed 10 of 15 passes for 104 yards and two touchdowns, while also rushing for 72 yards and a touchdown, showing his ability to impact the game both through the air and on the ground.
Despite a strong late rally, the Jaguars' offense stalled in overtime, failing to convert on fourth down, which ultimately cost them the game. This inconsistency in critical situations could be a concern moving forward.
South Alabama allowed Troy's Tucker Kilcrease to account for three touchdowns (two passing, one rushing) and 305 total yards, indicating defensive vulnerabilities that need addressing before the next game.
At kickoff, conditions at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL) were Partly cloudy, 70°F with winds of 11 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Partly cloudy
70°F
| Measure | South AlabamaAway | TroyHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 153 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | 1,108 miles | Bye week |
| Season total | 1,674 miles | 2,269 miles |
| Body clock | 18:00 | 18:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 14 days |
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