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Week 4 •
Joe Aillet Stadium

Southern Miss20 @FINAL 30Louisiana Tech

2-1 Sun Belt Power rating: -5.9
2-1 CUSA Power rating: -3.7

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
LT -3.0
PM Implied
LT -2.5
Blue Chip model
LT -5.7
Edge
+2.7LT
See details
◂ favors USMfavors LT ▸Market: LT -3.0
LT
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
LT
no impact
no impact
no impact
LT
1 USM1 LT2 USM2 LT3 USM3 LTModel: LT -5.7

Betting information

Spread
LT -3.0
Total
51.5
Odds implied score
USM 24.3 – 27.3 LT
Prediction markets
LT 60% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Louisiana Tech defeated Southern Miss 30–20 in a double-digit victory. Louisiana Tech covered by 7.0; Game went Under by 1.5. The market closed at Louisiana Tech -3.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Louisiana Tech -5.7, an edge of 2.7 points toward Louisiana Tech.

What were the weather conditions for Southern Miss vs Louisiana Tech?

At kickoff, conditions at Joe Aillet Stadium were Cloudy, 79°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Southern Miss travels 212 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Louisiana Tech won by 10 in a double-digit victory.

Louisiana Tech covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 1.5 points.

How do Southern Miss and Louisiana Tech compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Louisiana Tech (-3.7) over Southern Miss (-5.9) by 2.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Louisiana Tech brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Southern Miss and Louisiana Tech?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Louisiana Tech won and Louisiana Tech covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 20, 2025 Game-time

Cloudy

79°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity94%
Wind5 mph S
Gusts10 mph
Wind map for Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech: aerial view of Joe Aillet Stadium, wind from the S at 4.9 mph, gusting to 10.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 4
Kickoff (local)
06:30 PM CDT
Venue
Joe Aillet Stadium
Capacity
23,000
Elevation
269 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Southern MissAway Louisiana TechHome
This week212 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total212 miles340 miles
Body clock18:3018:30
Rest7 days7 days

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