Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

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Louisiana Tech Bulldogs is 5-2 on the season, 6-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -2.7. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs is covering the spread at 70% since the start of last season (14-6), well above the FBS average. The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs head to South Alabama next in Week 9.

Conference: Sun Belt Conference
Stadium: Aillet Stadium, Ruston, LA
Power Rating (most current): -2.7
HFA Rating:3.2 pts
2026 Win Total:5.5
2026 Record: 5-2
2026 ATS: 6-1
2026 O/U: 5-2

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 8 of 2026 the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Power Rating of -2.7 is 2.7 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs have logged 949 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 3,595 miles, ranking 127th heaviest in the FBS.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachSonny Cumbie
Tenure4 seasons
Record at school19-31
Career record21-34 (4+ seasons)
Offensive coordinatorNathan Young
Defensive coordinatorLuke Olson

Offense

Blake Baker QB, Trey Kukuk QB, Eli Finley TE, Jay Wilkerson WR, Marcus Calwise Jr. WR, Talyn Shettron WR, Hayden Christman OL

Defense

Kolbe Fields LB, Jadon Mayfield LB, Alonzo Jackson Jr. LB, Zheric Hill LB, Kam Franklin S, Ahkhari Johnson CB

Special teams

Kaegan Kent K, Drew Henderson K, Reuben Edwards P

2025 Season in Review

Record8-5 ATS8-5 O/U5-8
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-01-00-1
Week 21-12-00-2
Week 32-13-01-2
Week 43-14-01-3
Week 54-15-01-4
Week 74-25-11-5
Week 94-35-22-5
Week 105-36-23-5
Week 115-46-33-6
Week 125-56-43-7
Week 136-57-44-7
Week 147-58-45-7
Postseason8-58-55-8

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened -7.5 in the preseason and finished -2.7 after week 8, a move of +4.8 points. High -2.7 (week 8), low -8.4 (week 1).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from -7.5 to -2.7.

PreW8

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs SP+ Profile

Offence+22.398 of 138higher is better
Defence+30.699 of 138lower is better
Special teams0.076 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±2.1 pts
HFA measured+5.0 pts
HFA applied+3.2 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured home field advantage of +5.0 is regressed to +3.2 before it is applied, a difference of 1.8 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Northwestern State22-01-1
LSU20-22-0
Army10-10-1
Old Dominion10-10-1
South Alabama32-11-2
Southern Miss73-44-3
Georgia Southern10-10-1

No meeting on record since 2016: Baylor, Louisiana, UL Monroe, Troy, Arkansas State.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home37-1928-27-1 ATS · 56 games
On the road19-4229-30-2 ATS · 61 games
Neutral site5-34-4 ATS · 8 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

3,595 miles - ranked 127th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 3,595 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 03,595 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1Northwestern StateHome0 mi
Week 2LSU170 mi340 mi
Week 3Baylor270 mi880 mi
Week 4-Bye
Week 5ArmyHome880 mi
Week 6LouisianaHome880 mi
Week 7UL Monroe34 mi949 mi
Week 8Old DominionHome949 mi
Week 9South Alabama292 mi1,533 mi
Week 10Troy396 mi2,325 mi
Week 11Southern MissHome2,325 mi
Week 12Arkansas StateHome2,325 mi
Week 13Georgia Southern635 mi3,595 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Season Outlook

Fast start, but schedule stiffens

Louisiana Tech sits at 4-2 after six games, already matching last season's win total against a mix of FCS and Power Four competition. The Bulldogs opened with an 80-6 demolition of Northwestern State, then hung tough at LSU before falling 45-14, and dropped a 36-19 decision at Baylor. Since then, they've reeled off three straight wins, including a 31-29 thriller over Army and a 32-31 comeback against Louisiana. The schedule now shifts to Sun Belt play, where the Bulldogs are 1-0 after beating the Ragin' Cajuns. With Old Dominion (2-5) up next, Louisiana Tech has a chance to build momentum before the heart of conference play.

Baker and Kukuk form a dynamic QB duo

Blake Baker, returning from a torn ACL that cut short his 2025 season, has shown why he's the top passer, throwing for 319 yards and three touchdowns in the win over Louisiana. But Trey Kukuk, a dual-threat junior-college transfer, has been a valuable change-of-pace option, rushing for 75 yards against Baylor and totaling 185 yards through the air against Army. The two-quarterback system has kept defenses off balance, and Baker's mobility appears to be improving. However, Baker's health remains a concern, and the offense must protect him better after allowing seven sacks at LSU.

Defense thrives on takeaways but secondary is vulnerable

The Bulldogs tied for second nationally with 22 interceptions last season, but most of those ball-hawking safeties departed. The rebuilt secondary has been torched by competent passing attacks: LSU's Sam Leavitt threw for 344 yards, Baylor's Nate Bennett completed 21 of 24 passes for 253 yards and three scores, and Louisiana's Lunch Winfield threw for 239 yards. Yet Louisiana Tech has survived thanks to timely turnovers, like Jordan McRae's 100-yard interception return against LSU. The pass defense remains the weak link, and opposing offenses will continue to test it. Linebacker Kolbe Fields, a sixth-year vet, anchors a deep unit that must generate pressure to mask coverage deficiencies.

Running game and kicking game are glaring weaknesses

Louisiana Tech lost its top three running backs from last season and entered 2026 with zero NCAA snaps at the position. The results have been mixed: Dylone Brooks broke out for 119 yards and a touchdown against Army, but the ground game was nonexistent against LSU and Baylor. The offensive line, which allowed the fewest sacks in Conference USA last season, has struggled against Power Four fronts. Additionally, the kicking game is a liability: Kaegan Kent has yet to make a field goal this season, missing attempts against LSU and Baylor. In close games, these deficiencies could prove costly, as the Bulldogs have been forced to chase touchdowns in the red zone.

Fourth-quarter magic and favorable schedule ahead

Louisiana Tech has developed a knack for late-game heroics, scoring 19 fourth-quarter points to erase a 31-24 deficit against Louisiana and 31 second-half points against Army. That resilience has fueled the current three-game winning streak. The schedule ahead is manageable: after Old Dominion, the Bulldogs face a mix of Sun Belt opponents, none of which are as talented as LSU or Baylor. With a 5-1 ATS record, Louisiana Tech has consistently exceeded expectations. If the defense can tighten up and the kicking game stabilizes, the Bulldogs could challenge for a Sun Belt title in their debut season. The pieces are there for a strong finish.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Louisiana Tech Bulldogs's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs is 6-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 86% of games.

What is Louisiana Tech Bulldogs's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -2.7, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Louisiana Tech Bulldogs's home field advantage rating?

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs's home field advantage rating is 3.2 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Louisiana Tech Bulldogs's 2026 win total?

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 5.5 wins, priced at -160 over and +120 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Louisiana Tech Bulldogs travel in 2026?

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs travels 3,595 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 127th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: 5-2 overall, 6-1 ATS, power rating -2.7 (2026 records).