Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

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Louisiana Tech Bulldogs is 1-0 on the season, 1-0 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -6.0. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs enters the season with a power rating of -6.0, placing them below average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs head to LSU next in Week 2. In 2025, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs went 8-5 overall, 8-5 against the spread, and 5-8 on totals.

Conference: Sun Belt Conference
Stadium: Aillet Stadium, Ruston, LA
Power Rating (most current): -6.0
HFA Rating:3.2 pts
2026 Win Total:5.5
2026 Record: 1-0
2026 ATS: 1-0
2026 O/U: 1-0

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 1 of 2026 the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Power Rating of -6.0 is 6.0 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 3,595 miles, ranking 127th heaviest in the FBS.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachSonny Cumbie
Tenure4 seasons
Record at school19-31
Career record21-34 (4+ seasons)
Offensive coordinatorNathan Young
Defensive coordinatorLuke Olson

Offense

Blake Baker QB, Trey Kukuk QB, Eli Finley TE, Jay Wilkerson WR, Marcus Calwise Jr. WR, Talyn Shettron WR, Hayden Christman OL

Defense

Kolbe Fields LB, Jadon Mayfield LB, Alonzo Jackson Jr. LB, Zheric Hill LB, Kam Franklin S, Ahkhari Johnson CB

Special teams

Kaegan Kent K, Drew Henderson K, Reuben Edwards P

2025 Season in Review

Record8-5 ATS8-5 O/U5-8
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-01-00-1
Week 21-12-00-2
Week 32-13-01-2
Week 43-14-01-3
Week 54-15-01-4
Week 74-25-11-5
Week 94-35-22-5
Week 105-36-23-5
Week 115-46-33-6
Week 125-56-43-7
Week 136-57-44-7
Week 147-58-45-7
Postseason8-58-55-8

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened -7.5 in the preseason and finished -6.0 after week 2, a move of +1.5 points. High -6.0 (week 2), low -8.4 (week 1).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 4 points, from -7.5 to -6.0.

PreW2

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs SP+ Profile

Offence+22.398 of 138higher is better
Defence+30.699 of 138lower is better
Special teams0.076 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±2.1 pts
HFA measured+5.0 pts
HFA applied+3.2 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured home field advantage of +5.0 is regressed to +3.2 before it is applied, a difference of 1.8 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Northwestern State22-01-1
LSU20-22-0
Army10-10-1
Old Dominion10-10-1
South Alabama32-11-2
Southern Miss73-44-3
Georgia Southern10-10-1

No meeting on record since 2016: Baylor, Louisiana, UL Monroe, Troy, Arkansas State.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home37-1928-27-1 ATS · 56 games
On the road19-4229-30-2 ATS · 61 games
Neutral site5-34-4 ATS · 8 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

3,595 miles - ranked 127th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 3,595 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 03,595 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1Northwestern StateHome0 mi
Week 2LSU170 mi340 mi
Week 3Baylor270 mi880 mi
Week 4-Bye
Week 5ArmyHome880 mi
Week 6LouisianaHome880 mi
Week 7UL Monroe34 mi949 mi
Week 8Old DominionHome949 mi
Week 9South Alabama292 mi1,533 mi
Week 10Troy396 mi2,325 mi
Week 11Southern MissHome2,325 mi
Week 12Arkansas StateHome2,325 mi
Week 13Georgia Southern635 mi3,595 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Season Outlook

Historic Offensive Explosion Masks Lingering Questions

Louisiana Tech's 80-6 demolition of Northwestern State set a program record for points in a game, surpassing the 76 scored against Rice in 2014. The Bulldogs racked up 528 yards and 10 touchdowns, with six different receivers finding the end zone. However, the opponent was an FCS program that was a 44.5-point underdog, so the performance tells us little about how the offense will fare against Sun Belt or SEC competition. The real tests begin now, starting with a road trip to LSU where the Bulldogs are 35.5-point underdogs.

Quarterback Picture Starting to Clear, But Baker's Health Remains Key

Blake Baker, returning from a torn ACL that ended his 2025 season, looked sharp in the opener, throwing three touchdown passes including a 75-yard strike to Jalen Mickens on the first play from scrimmage. Trey Kukuk, the junior-college transfer who led the team to a three-game winning streak last year, also saw action and completed all of his passes, adding a touchdown through the air. The coaching staff appears to be giving both quarterbacks reps, but Baker's ability to stay healthy and perform against tougher defenses will determine whether he holds onto the starting job or yields to Kukuk's dual-threat ability.

Rebuilt Skill Positions Show Promise, But Depth Is Untested

With the top three running backs and top four wide receivers from last season gone, Louisiana Tech needed new playmakers to emerge. In the opener, Jalen Mickens led the way with three catches for 133 yards and a touchdown, while Jay Wilkerson, returning from injury, and Eli Finley, the senior tight end, also scored. Talyn Shettron, the Oklahoma State transfer, added a touchdown run, and Dylone Brooks also found the end zone on the ground. The production was impressive, but it came against an overmatched defense. The running back position remains a concern, as no player on the roster had taken a single NCAA snap before this game, and the offensive line, which allowed the fewest sacks in Conference USA last year, will need to open holes against stiffer competition.

New Secondary Faces Its First Real Test at LSU

Louisiana Tech tied for second nationally with 22 interceptions in 2025, but the entire starting secondary is new after the top safeties departed for the NFL or transferred to Power Five programs. The opener against Northwestern State, which managed only 129 total yards, provided little resistance. The Bulldogs' defensive backs will face a far more formidable challenge in Baton Rouge, where LSU's offense will test their coverage skills and communication. The linebacker corps, led by sixth-year veteran Kolbe Fields and sophomores Jadon Mayfield, Alonzo Jackson Jr., and Zheric Hill, who gained valuable experience when Fields was injured last season, will need to support the young secondary against the run and in pass coverage.

Sun Belt Debut Looms as a Fresh Start with High Expectations

After 13 years in Conference USA, Louisiana Tech is set to join the Sun Belt for the 2026 season, a move that brings a fresh start but also a higher level of competition. The Bulldogs finished 8-5 last year, but matching that record in their new conference will be a challenge given the roster turnover. The opener was a confidence booster, but the schedule ahead includes a daunting trip to LSU, where the prediction market gives Louisiana Tech just a 2% chance of winning. The rest of the season will reveal whether the Bulldogs can develop enough depth and consistency to compete in the Sun Belt, where their offensive line and linebacker corps should be strengths, but the unproven skill positions and secondary will be under scrutiny.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Louisiana Tech Bulldogs's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs is 1-0 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 100% of games.

What is Louisiana Tech Bulldogs's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -6.0, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Louisiana Tech Bulldogs's home field advantage rating?

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs's home field advantage rating is 3.2 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Louisiana Tech Bulldogs's 2026 win total?

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 5.5 wins, priced at -160 over and +120 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Louisiana Tech Bulldogs travel in 2026?

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs travels 3,595 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 127th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: 1-0 overall, 1-0 ATS, power rating -6.0 (2026 records).