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Week 3 •
DATCU Stadium

Washington State10 @FINAL 59North Texas

2-0 Pac-12 Power rating: -3.0
2-0 American Power rating: 4.8

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UNT -6.5
PM Implied
UNT -4.4
Blue Chip model
UNT -11.4
Edge
+4.9UNT
See details
◂ favors WSUfavors UNT ▸Market: UNT -6.5
7.8 › UNT
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
UNT
no impact
UNT
no impact
UNT
2 WSU2 UNT4 WSU4 UNTModel: UNT -11.4

Betting information

Spread
UNT -6.5
Total
57.5
Odds implied score
WSU 25.5 – 32.0 UNT
Prediction markets
UNT 67% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

North Texas defeated Washington State 59–10 in a dominant performance. North Texas covered by 42.5; Game went Over by 11.5. The market closed at North Texas -6.5 and the Blue Chip model made it North Texas -11.4 - a gap of 4.9 points toward North Texas, of which 3.3 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Washington State vs North Texas?

At kickoff, conditions at DATCU Stadium were Partly cloudy, 89°F, heat index 91°F with winds of 9 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Washington State travels 1,406 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Washington State arrives with a 2-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

North Texas won by 49 in a dominant performance.

North Texas covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 11.5 points.

How do Washington State and North Texas compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor North Texas (4.8) over Washington State (-3.0) by 7.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. North Texas brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Washington State and North Texas?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

North Texas won and North Texas covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 13, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

89°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity41%
Wind9 mph S
Gusts14 mph
Heat index91°F
Wind map for Washington State at North Texas: aerial view of DATCU Stadium, wind from the S at 8.7 mph, gusting to 14.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 3
Kickoff (local)
02:30 PM CDT
Venue
DATCU Stadium
Capacity
30,100
Elevation
676 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Washington StateAway North TexasHome
This week1,406 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game1,778 miles
Season total1,406 miles1,778 miles
Body clock12:3014:30
Rest6 days7 days

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